Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 10°C at Munich Airport station on April 21, 2026, reflecting confirmed observational data from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD), Germany's official meteorological authority. Hourly records show the maximum reached exactly 10°C (50°F) around 15:50 local time amid mostly cloudy skies, light rain showers, and northerly winds from an upper-level trough suppressing warmth, with daily lows near 1°C. This aligns with a colder-than-normal April, where monthly means fell to 4.5°C versus the 9.4°C climatological average. Scenarios challenging this include rare DWD data revisions from sensor recalibration or quality control, though such adjustments are minimal post-validation; traders await final archived reports for resolution certainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Munich on April 21?
10°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$111,887 交易量
$111,887 交易量
4°C or below
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
Yes
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C or higher
No
10°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$111,887 交易量
$111,887 交易量
4°C or below
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
Yes
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 19, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 10°C at Munich Airport station on April 21, 2026, reflecting confirmed observational data from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD), Germany's official meteorological authority. Hourly records show the maximum reached exactly 10°C (50°F) around 15:50 local time amid mostly cloudy skies, light rain showers, and northerly winds from an upper-level trough suppressing warmth, with daily lows near 1°C. This aligns with a colder-than-normal April, where monthly means fell to 4.5°C versus the 9.4°C climatological average. Scenarios challenging this include rare DWD data revisions from sensor recalibration or quality control, though such adjustments are minimal post-validation; traders await final archived reports for resolution certainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



警惕外部連結哦。
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