Current ensemble forecasts from the German Weather Service and ECMWF models show Munich under a warming ridge with mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, supporting daily maxima near 29–31 °C on July 11. These conditions favor strong daytime heating after overnight lows in the mid-teens, though modest differences in afternoon cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 29–31 °C because historical July analogs and recent short-range runs place the most probable range there, while the modest probability on 32 °C or higher reflects the tail risk of clearer, drier air. Updated model guidance and DWD nowcasts over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月11日慕尼黑最高溫度？
7月11日慕尼黑最高溫度？
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$84,132 交易量
$84,132 交易量
2026-07-11
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$84,132 交易量
$84,132 交易量
2026-07-11
23°C or below
$530 交易量
No
24°C
$826 交易量
No
25°C
$1,309 交易量
No
26°C
$1,273 交易量
No
27°C
$2,843 交易量
No
28°C
$5,902 交易量
No
29°C
$40,622 交易量
No
30°C
$13,630 交易量
Yes
31°C
$12,398 交易量
No
32°C
$3,344 交易量
No
33°C or higher
$1,455 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the German Weather Service and ECMWF models show Munich under a warming ridge with mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, supporting daily maxima near 29–31 °C on July 11. These conditions favor strong daytime heating after overnight lows in the mid-teens, though modest differences in afternoon cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 29–31 °C because historical July analogs and recent short-range runs place the most probable range there, while the modest probability on 32 °C or higher reflects the tail risk of clearer, drier air. Updated model guidance and DWD nowcasts over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$84,132結束日期
2026-07-11市場開放時間
Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the German Weather Service and ECMWF models show Munich under a warming ridge with mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, supporting daily maxima near 29–31 °C on July 11. These conditions favor strong daytime heating after overnight lows in the mid-teens, though modest differences in afternoon cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 29–31 °C because historical July analogs and recent short-range runs place the most probable range there, while the modest probability on 32 °C or higher reflects the tail risk of clearer, drier air. Updated model guidance and DWD nowcasts over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$84,132結束日期
2026-07-11市場開放時間
Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Current ensemble forecasts from the German Weather Service and ECMWF models show Munich under a warming ridge with mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, supporting daily maxima near 29–31 °C on July 11. These conditions favor strong daytime heating after overnight lows in the mid-teens, though modest differences in afternoon cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 29–31 °C because historical July analogs and recent short-range runs place the most probable range there, while the modest probability on 32 °C or higher reflects the tail risk of clearer, drier air. Updated model guidance and DWD nowcasts over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions