Official measurements from the Paris-Le Bourget Airport station, the authoritative source for this market under Météo-France oversight, recorded a maximum temperature of 14°C on May 11, 2026, between 00:00 and 23:59 UTC, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability. Persistent low cloud cover, morning rain showers, and northerly winds—steered by a blocking high over northern Europe—limited solar heating and aligned with ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting 14–16°C highs well below the mid-May climatological average of 19°C. This positioning reflects verified hourly observations from automated sensors, with realistic challenges limited to rare data revisions from equipment anomalies or post-audit corrections by monitoring agencies.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Paris on May 11?
14°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$109,167 交易量
$109,167 交易量
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$109,167 交易量
$109,167 交易量
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 9, 2026, 3:59 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official measurements from the Paris-Le Bourget Airport station, the authoritative source for this market under Météo-France oversight, recorded a maximum temperature of 14°C on May 11, 2026, between 00:00 and 23:59 UTC, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability. Persistent low cloud cover, morning rain showers, and northerly winds—steered by a blocking high over northern Europe—limited solar heating and aligned with ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting 14–16°C highs well below the mid-May climatological average of 19°C. This positioning reflects verified hourly observations from automated sensors, with realistic challenges limited to rare data revisions from equipment anomalies or post-audit corrections by monitoring agencies.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions