Trader consensus favors a Seattle high of 52-53°F at 37% implied probability, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast pinpointing a daytime peak near 52°F under partly cloudy skies with light northwest winds. Ensemble models from GFS and ECMWF reinforce this, projecting mild marine layer influence suppressing temperatures after recent Pacific frontal passages cleared cooler, moist air. Historical March 22 averages hover around 54°F, but current upper-air patterns and soil moisture deficits position the low-50s as frontrunners, with upside risks to 54-55°F (19%) if diurnal heating strengthens. Updated soundings released yesterday nudged odds downward from prior 54-55°F favoritism, highlighting model convergence amid typical spring variability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於3月22日西雅圖的最高溫度?
3月22日西雅圖的最高溫度?
52-53°F 35%
50-51°F 24%
54-55°F 19%
48-49°F 12%
華氏45度或以下
2%
46-47°F
2%
48-49°F
12%
50-51°F
24%
52-53°F
35%
54-55°F
19%
56-57°F
8%
58-59°F
2%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
華氏64度或更高
1%
52-53°F 35%
50-51°F 24%
54-55°F 19%
48-49°F 12%
華氏45度或以下
2%
46-47°F
2%
48-49°F
12%
50-51°F
24%
52-53°F
35%
54-55°F
19%
56-57°F
8%
58-59°F
2%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
華氏64度或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors a Seattle high of 52-53°F at 37% implied probability, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast pinpointing a daytime peak near 52°F under partly cloudy skies with light northwest winds. Ensemble models from GFS and ECMWF reinforce this, projecting mild marine layer influence suppressing temperatures after recent Pacific frontal passages cleared cooler, moist air. Historical March 22 averages hover around 54°F, but current upper-air patterns and soil moisture deficits position the low-50s as frontrunners, with upside risks to 54-55°F (19%) if diurnal heating strengthens. Updated soundings released yesterday nudged odds downward from prior 54-55°F favoritism, highlighting model convergence amid typical spring variability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions