Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting global models indicate a daily maximum of 25°C for Shanghai on June 9, driving the near-certain market-implied outcome. Early June climatology features average highs near 26–28°C amid the transition to the East Asian summer monsoon, with current conditions—overcast skies, moderate humidity, and limited solar heating—aligning closely with this threshold. Ensemble predictions show tight agreement around this value, with minimal spread from steering patterns or localized convection. Final official observations will resolve the market, though minor revisions from measurement timing or microclimate effects remain possible but unlikely to shift the peak materially.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月9日上海最高溫度？
6月9日上海最高溫度？
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$186,263 交易量
$186,263 交易量
2026-06-09
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$186,263 交易量
$186,263 交易量
2026-06-09
18°C or below
$374 交易量
No
19°C
$500 交易量
No
20°C
$960 交易量
No
21°C
$4,139 交易量
No
22°C
$14,483 交易量
No
23°C
$28,675 交易量
No
24°C
$20,979 交易量
No
25°C
$40,506 交易量
Yes
26°C
$43,494 交易量
No
27°C
$19,655 交易量
No
28°C or higher
$12,497 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting global models indicate a daily maximum of 25°C for Shanghai on June 9, driving the near-certain market-implied outcome. Early June climatology features average highs near 26–28°C amid the transition to the East Asian summer monsoon, with current conditions—overcast skies, moderate humidity, and limited solar heating—aligning closely with this threshold. Ensemble predictions show tight agreement around this value, with minimal spread from steering patterns or localized convection. Final official observations will resolve the market, though minor revisions from measurement timing or microclimate effects remain possible but unlikely to shift the peak materially.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 7, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
交易量
$186,263結束日期
2026-06-09市場開放時間
Jun 7, 2026, 12:09 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting global models indicate a daily maximum of 25°C for Shanghai on June 9, driving the near-certain market-implied outcome. Early June climatology features average highs near 26–28°C amid the transition to the East Asian summer monsoon, with current conditions—overcast skies, moderate humidity, and limited solar heating—aligning closely with this threshold. Ensemble predictions show tight agreement around this value, with minimal spread from steering patterns or localized convection. Final official observations will resolve the market, though minor revisions from measurement timing or microclimate effects remain possible but unlikely to shift the peak materially.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$186,263結束日期
2026-06-09市場開放時間
Jun 7, 2026, 12:09 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting global models indicate a daily maximum of 25°C for Shanghai on June 9, driving the near-certain market-implied outcome. Early June climatology features average highs near 26–28°C amid the transition to the East Asian summer monsoon, with current conditions—overcast skies, moderate humidity, and limited solar heating—aligning closely with this threshold. Ensemble predictions show tight agreement around this value, with minimal spread from steering patterns or localized convection. Final official observations will resolve the market, though minor revisions from measurement timing or microclimate effects remain possible but unlikely to shift the peak materially.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions