Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a maximum temperature of 29°C in Tokyo on September 8, driving the near-certain market-implied odds for that outcome. Stable atmospheric conditions, including moderate humidity and limited solar heating under partly cloudy skies, align with model consensus projecting no significant deviation. Historical September baselines for the region average around 28–30°C, providing context for the tight clustering. Trader consensus reflects real-time observational data and short-range model runs with low uncertainty ranges. Only an abrupt shift in local wind patterns or unforecasted urban heat effects could realistically push readings outside this threshold before official verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月8日東京氣溫最高？
9月8日東京氣溫最高？
29°C 100.0%
26°C或以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$93,966 交易量
$93,966 交易量
2026-09-08
26°C或以下
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
是
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C或以上
否
29°C 100.0%
26°C或以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$93,966 交易量
$93,966 交易量
2026-09-08
26°C或以下
$18,097 交易量
否
27°C
$16,154 交易量
否
28°C
$21,347 交易量
否
29°C
$9,350 交易量
是
30°C
$12,817 交易量
否
31°C
$6,278 交易量
否
32°C
$4,771 交易量
否
33°C
$1,238 交易量
否
34°C
$1,297 交易量
否
35°C
$1,319 交易量
否
36°C或以上
$1,298 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a maximum temperature of 29°C in Tokyo on September 8, driving the near-certain market-implied odds for that outcome. Stable atmospheric conditions, including moderate humidity and limited solar heating under partly cloudy skies, align with model consensus projecting no significant deviation. Historical September baselines for the region average around 28–30°C, providing context for the tight clustering. Trader consensus reflects real-time observational data and short-range model runs with low uncertainty ranges. Only an abrupt shift in local wind patterns or unforecasted urban heat effects could realistically push readings outside this threshold before official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$93,966結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a maximum temperature of 29°C in Tokyo on September 8, driving the near-certain market-implied odds for that outcome. Stable atmospheric conditions, including moderate humidity and limited solar heating under partly cloudy skies, align with model consensus projecting no significant deviation. Historical September baselines for the region average around 28–30°C, providing context for the tight clustering. Trader consensus reflects real-time observational data and short-range model runs with low uncertainty ranges. Only an abrupt shift in local wind patterns or unforecasted urban heat effects could realistically push readings outside this threshold before official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$93,966結束日期
2026-09-08市場開放時間
Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a maximum temperature of 29°C in Tokyo on September 8, driving the near-certain market-implied odds for that outcome. Stable atmospheric conditions, including moderate humidity and limited solar heating under partly cloudy skies, align with model consensus projecting no significant deviation. Historical September baselines for the region average around 28–30°C, providing context for the tight clustering. Trader consensus reflects real-time observational data and short-range model runs with low uncertainty ranges. Only an abrupt shift in local wind patterns or unforecasted urban heat effects could realistically push readings outside this threshold before official verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions