Environment Canada's latest 3:30 PM EDT forecast for Toronto projects a daytime high of 19°C on May 3 under mainly sunny conditions with southwest winds at 20 km/h, driving the market's 100% implied probability for 15°C or higher at Toronto Pearson International Airport. Observations confirm early morning lows near 1°C warming to 11°C by 5 PM amid light showers and gusty westerly winds up to 50 km/h, aligning with model consensus for peak afternoon heating after recent cooler days (highs near 9–10°C). May normals average 17°C, providing climatological support. Realistic challenges include persistent cloudiness or evening showers capping temperatures below 15°C, though trajectories strongly favor the warmer outcome; final Wunderground CYYZ records will resolve.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月3日多倫多氣溫最高?
15°C或以上 100.0%
5°C或以下 <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$131,837 交易量
$131,837 交易量
5°C或以下
否
6°C
否
7°C
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C或以上
是
15°C或以上 100.0%
5°C或以下 <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$131,837 交易量
$131,837 交易量
5°C或以下
否
6°C
否
7°C
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C或以上
是
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 1, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Environment Canada's latest 3:30 PM EDT forecast for Toronto projects a daytime high of 19°C on May 3 under mainly sunny conditions with southwest winds at 20 km/h, driving the market's 100% implied probability for 15°C or higher at Toronto Pearson International Airport. Observations confirm early morning lows near 1°C warming to 11°C by 5 PM amid light showers and gusty westerly winds up to 50 km/h, aligning with model consensus for peak afternoon heating after recent cooler days (highs near 9–10°C). May normals average 17°C, providing climatological support. Realistic challenges include persistent cloudiness or evening showers capping temperatures below 15°C, though trajectories strongly favor the warmer outcome; final Wunderground CYYZ records will resolve.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

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