Traders have aligned fully behind the 100–200 hour range for Figure’s F.03 humanoid robots to operate without failure, reflecting the company’s recent controlled demonstrations of stable locomotion and task execution powered by its latest large language model integration. This consensus draws from Figure’s iterative improvements in battery efficiency, sensor fusion, and AI-driven error correction, which have extended reliable runtime in lab and factory settings compared with earlier prototypes. While the current positioning indicates strong confidence in the robot’s engineering maturity, unexpected challenges such as prolonged operation on uneven surfaces, high-load manipulation tasks, or software edge cases in dynamic environments could still shift outcomes if real-world conditions exceed test parameters.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於100-200 小時 100.0%
少於 8 小時 <1%
8-50小時 <1%
50-100小時 <1%
$191,928 交易量
$191,928 交易量
2026-05-21
少於 8 小時
否
8-50小時
否
50-100小時
否
100-200 小時
是
200 小時以上
否
100-200 小時 100.0%
少於 8 小時 <1%
8-50小時 <1%
50-100小時 <1%
$191,928 交易量
$191,928 交易量
2026-05-21
少於 8 小時
$182 交易量
否
8-50小時
$51,623 交易量
否
50-100小時
$17,197 交易量
否
100-200 小時
$49,113 交易量
是
200 小時以上
$73,813 交易量
否
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders have aligned fully behind the 100–200 hour range for Figure’s F.03 humanoid robots to operate without failure, reflecting the company’s recent controlled demonstrations of stable locomotion and task execution powered by its latest large language model integration. This consensus draws from Figure’s iterative improvements in battery efficiency, sensor fusion, and AI-driven error correction, which have extended reliable runtime in lab and factory settings compared with earlier prototypes. While the current positioning indicates strong confidence in the robot’s engineering maturity, unexpected challenges such as prolonged operation on uneven surfaces, high-load manipulation tasks, or software edge cases in dynamic environments could still shift outcomes if real-world conditions exceed test parameters.
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： May 13, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
交易量
$191,928結束日期
2026-05-21市場開放時間
May 13, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders have aligned fully behind the 100–200 hour range for Figure’s F.03 humanoid robots to operate without failure, reflecting the company’s recent controlled demonstrations of stable locomotion and task execution powered by its latest large language model integration. This consensus draws from Figure’s iterative improvements in battery efficiency, sensor fusion, and AI-driven error correction, which have extended reliable runtime in lab and factory settings compared with earlier prototypes. While the current positioning indicates strong confidence in the robot’s engineering maturity, unexpected challenges such as prolonged operation on uneven surfaces, high-load manipulation tasks, or software edge cases in dynamic environments could still shift outcomes if real-world conditions exceed test parameters.
Figure’s official livestream at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak shows a team of fully autonomous F.03 humanoid robots sorting small packages onto a conveyor.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the time measured in whole hours for which Figure's F.03 robots run without failure.
Failure is defined as the beginning of a continuous two-minute period during which no package is pushed onto the conveyor, as measured by the package counter not rising for two consecutive minutes. If Figure officially ends the demonstration before the specified period elapses, this will count as the end of the robots’ runtime, and resolution will be based on the elapsed runtime prior to the official end of the demonstration, regardless of whether a qualifying failure occurred.
If the failure or end occurs exactly between two listed timeframes, this market will resolve to the longer timeframe.
If the official Figure livestream is interrupted before the end of the specified period, this market will remain open until the period can be evaluated using a continuation livestream or official statements from Figure Robotics, Brett Adcock (@adcock_brett), or the official Figure X account; the interruption will not itself be considered a failure unless Figure explicitly indicates that a qualifying failure occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Figure's official livestream (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=luU57hMhkak); however, official statements from Figure Robotics, @adcock_brett, the official Figure X account, or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$191,928結束日期
2026-05-21市場開放時間
May 13, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Traders have aligned fully behind the 100–200 hour range for Figure’s F.03 humanoid robots to operate without failure, reflecting the company’s recent controlled demonstrations of stable locomotion and task execution powered by its latest large language model integration. This consensus draws from Figure’s iterative improvements in battery efficiency, sensor fusion, and AI-driven error correction, which have extended reliable runtime in lab and factory settings compared with earlier prototypes. While the current positioning indicates strong confidence in the robot’s engineering maturity, unexpected challenges such as prolonged operation on uneven surfaces, high-load manipulation tasks, or software edge cases in dynamic environments could still shift outcomes if real-world conditions exceed test parameters.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions