Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 20-24 ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz during March 23-29 at 35.5%, reflecting a recent decline in tanker volumes reported by the U.S. Energy Information Administration, which noted an average of 17 fully laden crude oil and condensate tankers per day in the prior week, down 19% from early March amid OPEC+ production cuts led by Saudi Arabia. Heightened tensions from Iranian naval activities and U.S. Fifth Fleet patrols have increased perceived risks, while Houthi attacks in the southern Red Sea and Arabian Sea prompt some vessels to delay or alter routes. Absent major disruptions like a strait closure, traders anticipate stabilization around recent lows, with 15-19 and 30-34 as next likely outcomes ahead of potential April policy shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於20-24 36%
15-19 15%
30-34 15%
25-29 12%
NEW
$12,204 交易量
NEW
$12,204 交易量
Mar 29, 2026
<10
2%
10-14
4%
15-19
15%
20-24
36%
25-29
12%
30-34
15%
35-39
11%
40-44
7%
45+
5%
20-24 36%
15-19 15%
30-34 15%
25-29 12%
NEW
$12,204 交易量
NEW
$12,204 交易量
Mar 29, 2026
<10
$2,301 交易量
2%
10-14
$911 交易量
4%
15-19
$1,113 交易量
15%
20-24
$1,396 交易量
36%
25-29
$1,039 交易量
12%
30-34
$940 交易量
15%
35-39
$1,152 交易量
11%
40-44
$1,079 交易量
7%
45+
$2,272 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from March 23, 2026, through March 29, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 20-24 ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz during March 23-29 at 35.5%, reflecting a recent decline in tanker volumes reported by the U.S. Energy Information Administration, which noted an average of 17 fully laden crude oil and condensate tankers per day in the prior week, down 19% from early March amid OPEC+ production cuts led by Saudi Arabia. Heightened tensions from Iranian naval activities and U.S. Fifth Fleet patrols have increased perceived risks, while Houthi attacks in the southern Red Sea and Arabian Sea prompt some vessels to delay or alter routes. Absent major disruptions like a strait closure, traders anticipate stabilization around recent lows, with 15-19 and 30-34 as next likely outcomes ahead of potential April policy shifts.
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from March 23, 2026, through March 29, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
市場開放時間： Mar 26, 2026, 8:09 PM ET
交易量
$12,204結束日期
Mar 29, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 26, 2026, 8:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from March 23, 2026, through March 29, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 20-24 ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz during March 23-29 at 35.5%, reflecting a recent decline in tanker volumes reported by the U.S. Energy Information Administration, which noted an average of 17 fully laden crude oil and condensate tankers per day in the prior week, down 19% from early March amid OPEC+ production cuts led by Saudi Arabia. Heightened tensions from Iranian naval activities and U.S. Fifth Fleet patrols have increased perceived risks, while Houthi attacks in the southern Red Sea and Arabian Sea prompt some vessels to delay or alter routes. Absent major disruptions like a strait closure, traders anticipate stabilization around recent lows, with 15-19 and 30-34 as next likely outcomes ahead of potential April policy shifts.
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from March 23, 2026, through March 29, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for the final date of the specified period, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
交易量
$12,204結束日期
Mar 29, 2026市場開放時間
Mar 26, 2026, 8:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 20-24 ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz during March 23-29 at 35.5%, reflecting a recent decline in tanker volumes reported by the U.S. Energy Information Administration, which noted an average of 17 fully laden crude oil and condensate tankers per day in the prior week, down 19% from early March amid OPEC+ production cuts led by Saudi Arabia. Heightened tensions from Iranian naval activities and U.S. Fifth Fleet patrols have increased perceived risks, while Houthi attacks in the southern Red Sea and Arabian Sea prompt some vessels to delay or alter routes. Absent major disruptions like a strait closure, traders anticipate stabilization around recent lows, with 15-19 and 30-34 as next likely outcomes ahead of potential April policy shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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