Incumbent Democrat Eric Sorensen holds a commanding position in the Illinois 17th congressional district race, reflected in the market's strong consensus for a Democratic outcome. The district's underlying partisan lean, combined with Sorensen's prior victories and uncontested Democratic primary, has produced consistently favorable ratings from nonpartisan forecasters such as the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Republican nominee Dillan Vancil faces structural headwinds, including limited fundraising and a general election environment that has historically supported Democratic holds. Trader positioning aligns with these fundamentals, though shifts could occur from national midterm dynamics, changes in voter turnout among key blocs, or late developments affecting candidate viability before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$18,690 交易量
$18,690 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
94%
共和黨
6%
$18,690 交易量
$18,690 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
$5,727 交易量
94%
共和黨
$12,963 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Eric Sorensen holds a commanding position in the Illinois 17th congressional district race, reflected in the market's strong consensus for a Democratic outcome. The district's underlying partisan lean, combined with Sorensen's prior victories and uncontested Democratic primary, has produced consistently favorable ratings from nonpartisan forecasters such as the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Republican nominee Dillan Vancil faces structural headwinds, including limited fundraising and a general election environment that has historically supported Democratic holds. Trader positioning aligns with these fundamentals, though shifts could occur from national midterm dynamics, changes in voter turnout among key blocs, or late developments affecting candidate viability before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
交易量
$18,690結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Eric Sorensen holds a commanding position in the Illinois 17th congressional district race, reflected in the market's strong consensus for a Democratic outcome. The district's underlying partisan lean, combined with Sorensen's prior victories and uncontested Democratic primary, has produced consistently favorable ratings from nonpartisan forecasters such as the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Republican nominee Dillan Vancil faces structural headwinds, including limited fundraising and a general election environment that has historically supported Democratic holds. Trader positioning aligns with these fundamentals, though shifts could occur from national midterm dynamics, changes in voter turnout among key blocs, or late developments affecting candidate viability before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$18,690結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETIncumbent Democrat Eric Sorensen holds a commanding position in the Illinois 17th congressional district race, reflected in the market's strong consensus for a Democratic outcome. The district's underlying partisan lean, combined with Sorensen's prior victories and uncontested Democratic primary, has produced consistently favorable ratings from nonpartisan forecasters such as the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Republican nominee Dillan Vancil faces structural headwinds, including limited fundraising and a general election environment that has historically supported Democratic holds. Trader positioning aligns with these fundamentals, though shifts could occur from national midterm dynamics, changes in voter turnout among key blocs, or late developments affecting candidate viability before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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