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icon for 喀拉拉邦立法議會選舉贏家
選舉·全球選舉

喀拉拉邦立法議會選舉贏家

icon for 喀拉拉邦立法議會選舉贏家
選舉·全球選舉

喀拉拉邦立法議會選舉贏家

印度國民大會黨（INC） 100.0%

多元社會黨（BSP） <1%

印度共產黨（CPI） <1%

CPI(M) <1%

Polymarket

$472,181 交易量

印度國民大會黨（INC） 100.0%

多元社會黨（BSP） <1%

印度共產黨（CPI） <1%

CPI(M) <1%

Polymarket

$472,181 交易量

icon for 多元社會黨（BSP）

多元社會黨（BSP）

$20,219 交易量

否

icon for 印度國民大會黨（INC）

印度國民大會黨（INC）

$109,121 交易量

是

icon for 印度共產黨（CPI）

印度共產黨（CPI）

$38,089 交易量

否

icon for CPI(M)

CPI(M)

$100,816 交易量

否

icon for JD(S)

JD(S)

$26,669 交易量

否

icon for 革命社會黨（RSP）

革命社會黨（RSP）

$17,062 交易量

否

icon for KEC(M)

KEC(M)

$16,092 交易量

否

icon for 印度人民黨（BJP）

印度人民黨（BJP）

$72,214 交易量

否

icon for NCP

NCP

$51,260 交易量

否

icon for IUML

IUML

$20,639 交易量

否

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Vote counting on May 4 for the Kerala Legislative Assembly election, held April 9 with 79.7% turnout, confirms the Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF) securing a decisive majority of 102 seats out of 140, including 63 for INC, ousting the incumbent Left Democratic Front (LDF) after two terms. This shift reflects strong anti-incumbency against LDF Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan's government amid governance critiques, bolstered by UDF's "Puthuyuga Yathra" campaign and exit polls predicting 82-94 UDF seats. Trader consensus prices INC at 100% as the election winner, embodying UDF's path to forming the next majority government. Realistic challenges are minimal—only unprecedented legal disputes, recounts, or defections could alter outcomes, though clear margins make this improbable.

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
交易量
$472,181
結束日期
2026-04-09
市場開放時間
Dec 23, 2025, 4:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Vote counting on May 4 for the Kerala Legislative Assembly election, held April 9 with 79.7% turnout, confirms the Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF) securing a decisive majority of 102 seats out of 140, including 63 for INC, ousting the incumbent Left Democratic Front (LDF) after two terms. This shift reflects strong anti-incumbency against LDF Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan's government amid governance critiques, bolstered by UDF's "Puthuyuga Yathra" campaign and exit polls predicting 82-94 UDF seats. Trader consensus prices INC at 100% as the election winner, embodying UDF's path to forming the next majority government. Realistic challenges are minimal—only unprecedented legal disputes, recounts, or defections could alter outcomes, though clear margins make this improbable.

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
交易量
$472,181
結束日期
2026-04-09
市場開放時間
Dec 23, 2025, 4:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

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警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"喀拉拉邦立法議會選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "印度國民大會黨（INC）" at 100%, followed by "多元社會黨（BSP）" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "喀拉拉邦立法議會選舉贏家" has generated $472.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 23, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "喀拉拉邦立法議會選舉贏家," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "喀拉拉邦立法議會選舉贏家" is "印度國民大會黨（INC）" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "多元社會黨（BSP）" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "喀拉拉邦立法議會選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.