Morena maintains overwhelming trader consensus for winning the most seats in Mexico’s June 2027 legislative election for the Chamber of Deputies, driven by sustained polling leads of 38–45% nationally and the party’s dominant position following its 2024 supermajority gains. President Claudia Sheinbaum’s high approval ratings and the party’s territorial control across most governorships reinforce this positioning, while the opposition remains fragmented with PAN as the clearest but distant second at roughly 10–18% in recent surveys. Structural factors, including the mixed-member electoral system and limited coalition momentum among PRI, MC, and smaller parties, further constrain challengers’ paths. No major shifts from economic pressures or internal party disputes have materially altered these probabilities in recent months.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於莫雷納黨 89.3%
全國行動黨（PAN） 8.9%
制度革命黨（PRI） <1%
公民運動（MC） <1%
$98,891 交易量
$98,891 交易量
2027-06-05
莫雷納黨
89%
全國行動黨（PAN）
9%
制度革命黨（PRI）
1%
公民運動（MC）
<1%
工黨（PT）
<1%
墨西哥生態綠黨（PVEM）
<1%
莫雷納黨 89.3%
全國行動黨（PAN） 8.9%
制度革命黨（PRI） <1%
公民運動（MC） <1%
$98,891 交易量
$98,891 交易量
2027-06-05
莫雷納黨
$55,412 交易量
89%
全國行動黨（PAN）
$15,664 交易量
9%
制度革命黨（PRI）
$7,219 交易量
1%
公民運動（MC）
$8,408 交易量
<1%
工黨（PT）
$6,047 交易量
<1%
墨西哥生態綠黨（PVEM）
$6,141 交易量
<1%
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Morena maintains overwhelming trader consensus for winning the most seats in Mexico’s June 2027 legislative election for the Chamber of Deputies, driven by sustained polling leads of 38–45% nationally and the party’s dominant position following its 2024 supermajority gains. President Claudia Sheinbaum’s high approval ratings and the party’s territorial control across most governorships reinforce this positioning, while the opposition remains fragmented with PAN as the clearest but distant second at roughly 10–18% in recent surveys. Structural factors, including the mixed-member electoral system and limited coalition momentum among PRI, MC, and smaller parties, further constrain challengers’ paths. No major shifts from economic pressures or internal party disputes have materially altered these probabilities in recent months.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
市場開放時間： May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
交易量
$98,891結束日期
2027-06-06市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Morena maintains overwhelming trader consensus for winning the most seats in Mexico’s June 2027 legislative election for the Chamber of Deputies, driven by sustained polling leads of 38–45% nationally and the party’s dominant position following its 2024 supermajority gains. President Claudia Sheinbaum’s high approval ratings and the party’s territorial control across most governorships reinforce this positioning, while the opposition remains fragmented with PAN as the clearest but distant second at roughly 10–18% in recent surveys. Structural factors, including the mixed-member electoral system and limited coalition momentum among PRI, MC, and smaller parties, further constrain challengers’ paths. No major shifts from economic pressures or internal party disputes have materially altered these probabilities in recent months.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
交易量
$98,891結束日期
2027-06-06市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Morena maintains overwhelming trader consensus for winning the most seats in Mexico’s June 2027 legislative election for the Chamber of Deputies, driven by sustained polling leads of 38–45% nationally and the party’s dominant position following its 2024 supermajority gains. President Claudia Sheinbaum’s high approval ratings and the party’s territorial control across most governorships reinforce this positioning, while the opposition remains fragmented with PAN as the clearest but distant second at roughly 10–18% in recent surveys. Structural factors, including the mixed-member electoral system and limited coalition momentum among PRI, MC, and smaller parties, further constrain challengers’ paths. No major shifts from economic pressures or internal party disputes have materially altered these probabilities in recent months.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions