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icon for 蒙大拿州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者
政治·主要

蒙大拿州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者

icon for 蒙大拿州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者
政治·主要

蒙大拿州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者

Alani Bankhead 100.0%

邁克爾·胡默特 <1%

凱瑟琳·麥克勞克林 <1%

瑞利·尼爾 <1%

Polymarket

$48,601 交易量

Alani Bankhead 100.0%

邁克爾·胡默特 <1%

凱瑟琳·麥克勞克林 <1%

瑞利·尼爾 <1%

Polymarket

$48,601 交易量

邁克爾·胡默特

$2,615 交易量

否

Alani Bankhead

$32,299 交易量

是

凱瑟琳·麥克勞克林

$481 交易量

否

瑞利·尼爾

$11,676 交易量

否

麥可·布萊克沃夫

$1,530 交易量

否

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Montana. If no 2026 Montana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Montana Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Alani Bankhead secured the Democratic nomination for Montana's open U.S. Senate seat in the June 2 primary, driving trader consensus to 100% on her as the winner. Partial results showed her with approximately 44% of the vote, ahead of Reilly Neill at 33% and Michael Black Wolf at 13%, with the remaining candidates trailing further. The open-seat contest followed Republican Sen. Steve Daines' retirement earlier in the cycle. Official certification and any potential recounts represent the main remaining steps that could alter the outcome, though the current margin makes shifts unlikely before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Montana.

If no 2026 Montana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Montana Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$48,601
結束日期
2026-06-02
市場開放時間
Dec 2, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Montana. If no 2026 Montana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Montana Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Montana. If no 2026 Montana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Montana Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Alani Bankhead secured the Democratic nomination for Montana's open U.S. Senate seat in the June 2 primary, driving trader consensus to 100% on her as the winner. Partial results showed her with approximately 44% of the vote, ahead of Reilly Neill at 33% and Michael Black Wolf at 13%, with the remaining candidates trailing further. The open-seat contest followed Republican Sen. Steve Daines' retirement earlier in the cycle. Official certification and any potential recounts represent the main remaining steps that could alter the outcome, though the current margin makes shifts unlikely before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Montana.

If no 2026 Montana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Montana Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$48,601
結束日期
2026-06-02
市場開放時間
Dec 2, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Montana. If no 2026 Montana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Montana Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

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警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"蒙大拿州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alani Bankhead" at 100%, followed by "邁克爾·胡默特" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "蒙大拿州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" has generated $48.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "蒙大拿州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "蒙大拿州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" is "Alani Bankhead" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "邁克爾·胡默特" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "蒙大拿州民主黨參議院初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.