Microsoft's share price has traded in a tight 378–400 range through mid-June 2026 after a sharp selloff, with the June 17 close at 378.91 reflecting a 3.8% single-day drop amid class-action litigation alleging overstated Azure growth and elevated AI-related capital expenditures nearing $190 billion annually. Cloud gross margins have compressed to roughly 66%, while consensus long-term analyst targets remain near $560 despite the near-term pressure. With the week of June 15 resolution imminent and the two leading buckets ($380–390 and $370–380) separated by just two percentage points in implied probability, trader positioning hinges on whether the latest data or any follow-through selling can push the final print below or above the $380 threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$370-$380 99.6%
<$350 <1%
$350-$360 <1%
$360-$370 <1%
$3,433 交易量
$3,433 交易量
2026-06-19
<$350
No
$350-$360
No
$360-$370
No
$370-$380
Yes
$380-$390
No
$390-$400
No
$400-$410
No
$410-$420
No
$420-$430
No
$430-$440
No
>$440
No
$370-$380 99.6%
<$350 <1%
$350-$360 <1%
$360-$370 <1%
$3,433 交易量
$3,433 交易量
2026-06-19
<$350
$403 交易量
No
$350-$360
$245 交易量
No
$360-$370
$244 交易量
No
$370-$380
$412 交易量
Yes
$380-$390
$381 交易量
No
$390-$400
$250 交易量
No
$400-$410
$260 交易量
No
$410-$420
$245 交易量
No
$420-$430
$290 交易量
No
$430-$440
$427 交易量
No
>$440
$276 交易量
No
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."Microsoft's share price has traded in a tight 378–400 range through mid-June 2026 after a sharp selloff, with the June 17 close at 378.91 reflecting a 3.8% single-day drop amid class-action litigation alleging overstated Azure growth and elevated AI-related capital expenditures nearing $190 billion annually. Cloud gross margins have compressed to roughly 66%, while consensus long-term analyst targets remain near $560 despite the near-term pressure. With the week of June 15 resolution imminent and the two leading buckets ($380–390 and $370–380) separated by just two percentage points in implied probability, trader positioning hinges on whether the latest data or any follow-through selling can push the final print below or above the $380 threshold.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
市場開放時間： Jun 12, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
交易量
$3,433結束日期
2026-06-19市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 6:23 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."Microsoft's share price has traded in a tight 378–400 range through mid-June 2026 after a sharp selloff, with the June 17 close at 378.91 reflecting a 3.8% single-day drop amid class-action litigation alleging overstated Azure growth and elevated AI-related capital expenditures nearing $190 billion annually. Cloud gross margins have compressed to roughly 66%, while consensus long-term analyst targets remain near $560 despite the near-term pressure. With the week of June 15 resolution imminent and the two leading buckets ($380–390 and $370–380) separated by just two percentage points in implied probability, trader positioning hinges on whether the latest data or any follow-through selling can push the final print below or above the $380 threshold.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
交易量
$3,433結束日期
2026-06-19市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 6:23 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Microsoft's share price has traded in a tight 378–400 range through mid-June 2026 after a sharp selloff, with the June 17 close at 378.91 reflecting a 3.8% single-day drop amid class-action litigation alleging overstated Azure growth and elevated AI-related capital expenditures nearing $190 billion annually. Cloud gross margins have compressed to roughly 66%, while consensus long-term analyst targets remain near $560 despite the near-term pressure. With the week of June 15 resolution imminent and the two leading buckets ($380–390 and $370–380) separated by just two percentage points in implied probability, trader positioning hinges on whether the latest data or any follow-through selling can push the final print below or above the $380 threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions