Recent polls in Sergipe show a fragmented field for the 2026 Senate seat, with Delegado André David, André Moura, Eduardo Amorim, and Rodrigo Valadares clustered between 12-17% support and several others in single digits. This spread of viable contenders from parties including Republicanos, União Brasil, PL, MDB, and PT sustains tight implied probabilities near 22-27% for the leading names in trader consensus. No candidate has consolidated a commanding lead through endorsements or major campaign events in recent weeks, while undecided voters and blank/null responses remain sizable. Separation could emerge from convention outcomes, coalition negotiations, or late polling shifts before the October election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Eduardo Amorim 24%
Delegado Alessandro 24%
Delegado André David 23%
André Moura 23%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
Eduardo Amorim
24%
Delegado Alessandro
24%
Delegado André David
23%
André Moura
23%
Edvaldo
23%
Rodrigo Valadares
23%
Renatinha
22%
Paulinho da União Tur
22%
Rogerio Carvalho
22%
Coronel Rocha
22%
Iran Barbosa
22%
Eduardo Amorim 24%
Delegado Alessandro 24%
Delegado André David 23%
André Moura 23%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
Eduardo Amorim
$0 交易量
24%
Delegado Alessandro
$0 交易量
24%
Delegado André David
$0 交易量
23%
André Moura
$0 交易量
23%
Edvaldo
$0 交易量
23%
Rodrigo Valadares
$0 交易量
23%
Renatinha
$0 交易量
22%
Paulinho da União Tur
$0 交易量
22%
Rogerio Carvalho
$0 交易量
22%
Coronel Rocha
$0 交易量
22%
Iran Barbosa
$0 交易量
22%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls in Sergipe show a fragmented field for the 2026 Senate seat, with Delegado André David, André Moura, Eduardo Amorim, and Rodrigo Valadares clustered between 12-17% support and several others in single digits. This spread of viable contenders from parties including Republicanos, União Brasil, PL, MDB, and PT sustains tight implied probabilities near 22-27% for the leading names in trader consensus. No candidate has consolidated a commanding lead through endorsements or major campaign events in recent weeks, while undecided voters and blank/null responses remain sizable. Separation could emerge from convention outcomes, coalition negotiations, or late polling shifts before the October election.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls in Sergipe show a fragmented field for the 2026 Senate seat, with Delegado André David, André Moura, Eduardo Amorim, and Rodrigo Valadares clustered between 12-17% support and several others in single digits. This spread of viable contenders from parties including Republicanos, União Brasil, PL, MDB, and PT sustains tight implied probabilities near 22-27% for the leading names in trader consensus. No candidate has consolidated a commanding lead through endorsements or major campaign events in recent weeks, while undecided voters and blank/null responses remain sizable. Separation could emerge from convention outcomes, coalition negotiations, or late polling shifts before the October election.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls in Sergipe show a fragmented field for the 2026 Senate seat, with Delegado André David, André Moura, Eduardo Amorim, and Rodrigo Valadares clustered between 12-17% support and several others in single digits. This spread of viable contenders from parties including Republicanos, União Brasil, PL, MDB, and PT sustains tight implied probabilities near 22-27% for the leading names in trader consensus. No candidate has consolidated a commanding lead through endorsements or major campaign events in recent weeks, while undecided voters and blank/null responses remain sizable. Separation could emerge from convention outcomes, coalition negotiations, or late polling shifts before the October election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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