The Sergipe Senate race remains highly fragmented with no dominant contender for second place, as reflected in the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 40-50% for leading names including Eduardo Amorim, Delegado Alessandro, Iran Barbosa, Rodrigo Valadares, Edvaldo, and Rogério Carvalho. Recent August 2026 polling shows several candidates polling in the mid-teens amid large undecided shares, consistent with an early-stage multi-candidate contest involving parties such as Republicanos, PL, PT, and MDB. This dynamic sustains uncertainty in the implied probabilities. Upcoming polls, formal party alliances, and intensified campaigning ahead of the October election could produce clearer separation among the field.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於安德烈·莫拉 47%
愛德華多·阿莫林 47%
雷納蒂尼亞 46%
德雷加多·亞歷山大 44%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
安德烈·莫拉
47%
愛德華多·阿莫林
47%
雷納蒂尼亞
46%
德雷加多·亞歷山大
44%
Coronel Rocha
44%
Paulinho da União Tur
44%
伊朗·巴博薩
43%
羅德里戈·瓦拉達雷斯
43%
Rogerio Carvalho
43%
艾德瓦爾多
43%
Delegado André David
42%
安德烈·莫拉 47%
愛德華多·阿莫林 47%
雷納蒂尼亞 46%
德雷加多·亞歷山大 44%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
安德烈·莫拉
$0 交易量
47%
愛德華多·阿莫林
$0 交易量
47%
雷納蒂尼亞
$0 交易量
46%
德雷加多·亞歷山大
$0 交易量
44%
Coronel Rocha
$0 交易量
44%
Paulinho da União Tur
$0 交易量
44%
伊朗·巴博薩
$0 交易量
43%
羅德里戈·瓦拉達雷斯
$0 交易量
43%
Rogerio Carvalho
$0 交易量
43%
艾德瓦爾多
$0 交易量
43%
Delegado André David
$0 交易量
42%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Sergipe Senate race remains highly fragmented with no dominant contender for second place, as reflected in the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 40-50% for leading names including Eduardo Amorim, Delegado Alessandro, Iran Barbosa, Rodrigo Valadares, Edvaldo, and Rogério Carvalho. Recent August 2026 polling shows several candidates polling in the mid-teens amid large undecided shares, consistent with an early-stage multi-candidate contest involving parties such as Republicanos, PL, PT, and MDB. This dynamic sustains uncertainty in the implied probabilities. Upcoming polls, formal party alliances, and intensified campaigning ahead of the October election could produce clearer separation among the field.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Sergipe Senate race remains highly fragmented with no dominant contender for second place, as reflected in the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 40-50% for leading names including Eduardo Amorim, Delegado Alessandro, Iran Barbosa, Rodrigo Valadares, Edvaldo, and Rogério Carvalho. Recent August 2026 polling shows several candidates polling in the mid-teens amid large undecided shares, consistent with an early-stage multi-candidate contest involving parties such as Republicanos, PL, PT, and MDB. This dynamic sustains uncertainty in the implied probabilities. Upcoming polls, formal party alliances, and intensified campaigning ahead of the October election could produce clearer separation among the field.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-10-04市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Sergipe Senate race remains highly fragmented with no dominant contender for second place, as reflected in the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 40-50% for leading names including Eduardo Amorim, Delegado Alessandro, Iran Barbosa, Rodrigo Valadares, Edvaldo, and Rogério Carvalho. Recent August 2026 polling shows several candidates polling in the mid-teens amid large undecided shares, consistent with an early-stage multi-candidate contest involving parties such as Republicanos, PL, PT, and MDB. This dynamic sustains uncertainty in the implied probabilities. Upcoming polls, formal party alliances, and intensified campaigning ahead of the October election could produce clearer separation among the field.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions