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icon for 到6月底，標準普爾500指數（ SPX ）將會受到什麼衝擊？
金融·標準普爾500指數

到6月底，標準普爾500指數（ SPX ）將會受到什麼衝擊？

icon for 到6月底，標準普爾500指數（ SPX ）將會受到什麼衝擊？
金融·標準普爾500指數

到6月底，標準普爾500指數（ SPX ）將會受到什麼衝擊？

6月 30

12月 31

6月 30

12月 31

$416,625 交易量

2026-06-30
Polymarket

$416,625 交易量

Polymarket

↑ 8,000美元

$34,718 交易量

3%

↑ $7,850

$13,633 交易量

7%

↑ 7,700美元

$28,725 交易量

9%

↓ 7,100美元

$15,258 交易量

28%

↓ $6,900

$8,398 交易量

17%

↓ $6,700

$15,839 交易量

8%

↓ $6,500

$6,791 交易量

5%

↓ 6,300美元

$100,082 交易量

3%

↓ $6,000

$103,522 交易量

2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Recent volatility in the S&P 500, which closed at 7,394.30 on June 11 after rebounding 1.75% amid a tech-led recovery, stems primarily from early June selling pressure that erased gains from all-time highs near 7,621 on June 2. Mega-cap technology and semiconductor stocks drove the pullback, reflecting profit-taking and sector-specific concerns, while broader market breadth showed mixed participation. With roughly 18 trading days remaining until month-end, quarter-end rebalancing, potential economic data releases on inflation and employment, and ongoing earnings momentum represent key near-term catalysts that could influence implied probabilities for index levels. Trader sentiment, as reflected in real-money markets, incorporates these dynamics alongside historical base rates for June performance amid elevated valuations.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.

Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.

All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
交易量
$416,625
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Jan 6, 2026, 9:32 PM ET

結算來源

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Recent volatility in the S&P 500, which closed at 7,394.30 on June 11 after rebounding 1.75% amid a tech-led recovery, stems primarily from early June selling pressure that erased gains from all-time highs near 7,621 on June 2. Mega-cap technology and semiconductor stocks drove the pullback, reflecting profit-taking and sector-specific concerns, while broader market breadth showed mixed participation. With roughly 18 trading days remaining until month-end, quarter-end rebalancing, potential economic data releases on inflation and employment, and ongoing earnings momentum represent key near-term catalysts that could influence implied probabilities for index levels. Trader sentiment, as reflected in real-money markets, incorporates these dynamics alongside historical base rates for June performance amid elevated valuations.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.

Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.

All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
交易量
$416,625
結束日期
2026-06-30
市場開放時間
Jan 6, 2026, 9:32 PM ET

結算來源

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"到6月底，標準普爾500指數（ SPX ）將會受到什麼衝擊？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "↑ 7,600美元" at 100%, followed by "↑ 7,450美元" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "到6月底，標準普爾500指數（ SPX ）將會受到什麼衝擊？" has generated $416.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 7, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "到6月底，標準普爾500指數（ SPX ）將會受到什麼衝擊？," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "到6月底，標準普爾500指數（ SPX ）將會受到什麼衝擊？" is "↑ 7,600美元" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "↑ 7,450美元" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "到6月底，標準普爾500指數（ SPX ）將會受到什麼衝擊？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.