The market-implied odds for "The Uprising" reflect trader consensus on muted domestic opening weekend performance, with the sub-$4.5 million bracket holding the clearest lead. Primary drivers include the mid-September release timing for a Focus Features historical drama, modest pre-release tracking amid limited wide-audience awareness, and competition from higher-profile titles. Paul Greengrass's direction and Andrew Garfield's lead role provide some prestige draw, yet the R-rated Peasants' Revolt narrative lacks the broad commercial hooks or franchise momentum seen in prior Greengrass action projects. Recent trailer views and early social metrics have not translated into strong presales momentum, while similar period pieces have historically underperformed in this window without strong critical or guild buzz to build late interest.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於《The Uprising》周末首映票房
少於450萬 59%
450萬-550萬 23%
550萬-650萬 14%
750萬+ 14%
少於450萬
59%
450萬-550萬
23%
550萬-650萬
14%
650-750萬
9%
750萬+
14%
少於450萬 59%
450萬-550萬 23%
550萬-650萬 14%
750萬+ 14%
少於450萬
59%
450萬-550萬
23%
550萬-650萬
14%
650-750萬
9%
750萬+
14%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市場開放時間: Sep 8, 2026, 4:29 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The market-implied odds for "The Uprising" reflect trader consensus on muted domestic opening weekend performance, with the sub-$4.5 million bracket holding the clearest lead. Primary drivers include the mid-September release timing for a Focus Features historical drama, modest pre-release tracking amid limited wide-audience awareness, and competition from higher-profile titles. Paul Greengrass's direction and Andrew Garfield's lead role provide some prestige draw, yet the R-rated Peasants' Revolt narrative lacks the broad commercial hooks or franchise momentum seen in prior Greengrass action projects. Recent trailer views and early social metrics have not translated into strong presales momentum, while similar period pieces have historically underperformed in this window without strong critical or guild buzz to build late interest.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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