Recent polling averages and individual surveys released in late August 2026 place President Trump’s job approval in the high 30s, with RealClearPolitics and similar aggregators showing figures clustered near 39%. Traders have converged on the 38.0–38.4% band because multiple national polls from outlets including Reuters/Ipsos, Economist/YouGov, Rasmussen, and Morning Consult have produced results in this narrow range amid steady downward pressure on net approval. Economic concerns, particularly inflation and prices, along with foreign policy developments tied to the Iran conflict, have kept overall support subdued while Republican approval remains in the low-to-mid 80s. A handful of late-August surveys showed minimal movement, reinforcing the narrow outcome as the prevailing trader consensus. Late poll releases, methodological adjustments, or unexpected shifts in economic sentiment could still alter the final reported figure.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於38.0–38.4 100.0%
38.5–38.9 <1%
低於37.0 <1%
37.0–37.4 <1%
$6,693 交易量
$6,693 交易量
2026-08-28
低於37.0
否
37.0–37.4
否
37.5–37.9
否
38.0–38.4
是
38.5–38.9
否
39.0+
否
38.0–38.4 100.0%
38.5–38.9 <1%
低於37.0 <1%
37.0–37.4 <1%
$6,693 交易量
$6,693 交易量
2026-08-28
低於37.0
$458 交易量
否
37.0–37.4
$396 交易量
否
37.5–37.9
$1,760 交易量
否
38.0–38.4
$1,578 交易量
是
38.5–38.9
$2,018 交易量
否
39.0+
$483 交易量
否
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 28, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages and individual surveys released in late August 2026 place President Trump’s job approval in the high 30s, with RealClearPolitics and similar aggregators showing figures clustered near 39%. Traders have converged on the 38.0–38.4% band because multiple national polls from outlets including Reuters/Ipsos, Economist/YouGov, Rasmussen, and Morning Consult have produced results in this narrow range amid steady downward pressure on net approval. Economic concerns, particularly inflation and prices, along with foreign policy developments tied to the Iran conflict, have kept overall support subdued while Republican approval remains in the low-to-mid 80s. A handful of late-August surveys showed minimal movement, reinforcing the narrow outcome as the prevailing trader consensus. Late poll releases, methodological adjustments, or unexpected shifts in economic sentiment could still alter the final reported figure.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 28, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市場開放時間： Aug 21, 2026, 3:07 PM ET
交易量
$6,693結束日期
2026-08-28市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 3:07 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 28, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages and individual surveys released in late August 2026 place President Trump’s job approval in the high 30s, with RealClearPolitics and similar aggregators showing figures clustered near 39%. Traders have converged on the 38.0–38.4% band because multiple national polls from outlets including Reuters/Ipsos, Economist/YouGov, Rasmussen, and Morning Consult have produced results in this narrow range amid steady downward pressure on net approval. Economic concerns, particularly inflation and prices, along with foreign policy developments tied to the Iran conflict, have kept overall support subdued while Republican approval remains in the low-to-mid 80s. A handful of late-August surveys showed minimal movement, reinforcing the narrow outcome as the prevailing trader consensus. Late poll releases, methodological adjustments, or unexpected shifts in economic sentiment could still alter the final reported figure.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 28, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$6,693結束日期
2026-08-28市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 3:07 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent polling averages and individual surveys released in late August 2026 place President Trump’s job approval in the high 30s, with RealClearPolitics and similar aggregators showing figures clustered near 39%. Traders have converged on the 38.0–38.4% band because multiple national polls from outlets including Reuters/Ipsos, Economist/YouGov, Rasmussen, and Morning Consult have produced results in this narrow range amid steady downward pressure on net approval. Economic concerns, particularly inflation and prices, along with foreign policy developments tied to the Iran conflict, have kept overall support subdued while Republican approval remains in the low-to-mid 80s. A handful of late-August surveys showed minimal movement, reinforcing the narrow outcome as the prevailing trader consensus. Late poll releases, methodological adjustments, or unexpected shifts in economic sentiment could still alter the final reported figure.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions