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icon for WA-09主要優勝者

WA-09主要優勝者

icon for WA-09主要優勝者

WA-09主要優勝者

最新
2026-08-04
Polymarket

$1,328 交易量

Polymarket
icon for Adam Smith

Adam Smith

$329 交易量

95%

icon for Kshama Sawant

Kshama Sawant

$112 交易量

32%

icon for 雅各布·培拉索

雅各布·培拉索

$69 交易量

33%

icon for 梅麗莎·喬德里

梅麗莎·喬德里

$582 交易量

3%

icon for Doug Basler

Doug Basler

$235 交易量

55%

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-09 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-09 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.Washington’s 9th Congressional District holds its top-two primary on August 4, 2026, to select the two candidates advancing to the November general election. Longtime Democratic incumbent Adam Smith faces challengers including independent socialist Kshama Sawant, Republican Douglas Michael Basler, and lesser-known entrants. The district, encompassing parts of southern and eastern Seattle plus suburban areas like Renton and Kent, has consistently favored Democrats in recent cycles. Sawant’s campaign centers on housing affordability, healthcare expansion, and opposition to military aid abroad, while Smith emphasizes his legislative record on armed services and local priorities. With the filing deadline passed and voting hours away, trader attention centers on which two names will emerge from the nonpartisan primary format.

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 WA-09 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-09 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
交易量
$1,328
結束日期
2026-08-04
市場開放時間
Jul 20, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-09 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-09 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-09 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-09 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.Washington’s 9th Congressional District holds its top-two primary on August 4, 2026, to select the two candidates advancing to the November general election. Longtime Democratic incumbent Adam Smith faces challengers including independent socialist Kshama Sawant, Republican Douglas Michael Basler, and lesser-known entrants. The district, encompassing parts of southern and eastern Seattle plus suburban areas like Renton and Kent, has consistently favored Democrats in recent cycles. Sawant’s campaign centers on housing affordability, healthcare expansion, and opposition to military aid abroad, while Smith emphasizes his legislative record on armed services and local priorities. With the filing deadline passed and voting hours away, trader attention centers on which two names will emerge from the nonpartisan primary format.

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 WA-09 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-09 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
交易量
$1,328
結束日期
2026-08-04
市場開放時間
Jul 20, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-09 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-09 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"WA-09主要優勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Adam Smith" at 95%, followed by "Doug Basler" at 55%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"WA-09主要優勝者" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 20, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "WA-09主要優勝者," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "WA-09主要優勝者" is "Adam Smith" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Doug Basler" at 55%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "WA-09主要優勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.