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政治·特朗普

Who will Trump publicly insult by April 30?

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政治·特朗普

Who will Trump publicly insult by April 30?

4月 30

4月 30

最新

$31,542 交易量

2026-04-30
Polymarket

$31,542 交易量

Polymarket
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Joe Biden

$8,529 交易量

94%

Market icon

Barack Obama

$1,281 交易量

54%

Market icon

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$120 交易量

49%

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Keir Starmer

$38 交易量

63%

Market icon

Megyn Kelly

$0 交易量

31%

Market icon

Tucker Carlson

$454 交易量

29%

Market icon

Alex Jones

$1,134 交易量

14%

Market icon

Pope Leo XIV

$1,330 交易量

35%

Market icon

Pam Bondi

$203 交易量

7%

Market icon

Elon Musk

$334 交易量

7%

Market icon

Benjamin Netanyahu

$5,877 交易量

5%

Market icon

Viktor Orbán

$2,592 交易量

4%

Market icon

Vladimir Putin

$1,003 交易量

3%

Market icon

Xi Jinping

$3,999 交易量

2%

Market icon

J.D. Vance

$2,077 交易量

2%

Market icon

Melania Trump

$2,526 交易量

1%

Market icon

Candace Owens

$47 交易量

43%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's frequent Truth Social posts have intensified amid the ongoing U.S.-Iran war, with recent personal insults targeting Pope Leo XIV as "weak on crime" and "terrible on foreign policy" after the pontiff criticized the conflict, alongside an AI-generated image depicting himself in Christ-like robes that drew widespread backlash. Over the past week, Trump labeled House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries "low IQ," Fox News hosts "real losers," and MAGA-aligned figures like Tucker Carlson and Alex Jones "nut jobs" and "stupid" for questioning war strategy. Earlier barbs hit French President Macron over his marriage and NATO allies. Traders note this pattern of lashing out at critics via nicknames, with potential for more amid ceasefire talks, Strait of Hormuz tensions, and upcoming addresses before April 30 resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$31,542
結束日期
2026-04-30
市場開放時間
Apr 13, 2026, 6:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's frequent Truth Social posts have intensified amid the ongoing U.S.-Iran war, with recent personal insults targeting Pope Leo XIV as "weak on crime" and "terrible on foreign policy" after the pontiff criticized the conflict, alongside an AI-generated image depicting himself in Christ-like robes that drew widespread backlash. Over the past week, Trump labeled House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries "low IQ," Fox News hosts "real losers," and MAGA-aligned figures like Tucker Carlson and Alex Jones "nut jobs" and "stupid" for questioning war strategy. Earlier barbs hit French President Macron over his marriage and NATO allies. Traders note this pattern of lashing out at critics via nicknames, with potential for more amid ceasefire talks, Strait of Hormuz tensions, and upcoming addresses before April 30 resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$31,542
結束日期
2026-04-30
市場開放時間
Apr 13, 2026, 6:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will Trump publicly insult by April 30?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Joe Biden" at 94%, followed by "Keir Starmer" at 63%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 94¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will Trump publicly insult by April 30?" has generated $31.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will Trump publicly insult by April 30?," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will Trump publicly insult by April 30?" is "Joe Biden" at 94%, meaning the market assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Keir Starmer" at 63%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will Trump publicly insult by April 30?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.