Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors ChatGPT at 48% implied probability for the #2 free app spot in the US Apple App Store on March 20, driven by its explosive recent climb in rankings fueled by viral user adoption of OpenAI's mobile AI chatbot amid broader generative AI hype. CBS Sports App follows at 23.5%, propelled by peak NCAA March Madness viewership during first- and second-round games that weekend, with the official NCAA March Madness Live app at 15.5% benefiting from tournament streaming demand. Lower odds for rivals like Claude (3%) and Google Gemini (2.5%) reflect their newer iOS launches lacking ChatGPT's entrenched momentum, while shopping app Temu (2.1%) fades post-holiday surges; no major updates have shifted sports vs. AI dynamics yet, but daily App Store volatility keeps odds fluid ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于ChatGPT 58%
CBS Sports App: Scores & News 27%
NCAA March Madness Live 16%
Claude by Anthropic 3.8%
$28,464 交易量
$28,464 交易量

ChatGPT
49%

CBS Sports App: Scores & News
27%

NCAA March Madness Live
16%

Claude by Anthropic
4%

Google Gemini
2%

Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire
2%

Freecash - Get Paid Real Money
1%

Threads
1%
ChatGPT 58%
CBS Sports App: Scores & News 27%
NCAA March Madness Live 16%
Claude by Anthropic 3.8%
$28,464 交易量
$28,464 交易量

ChatGPT
49%

CBS Sports App: Scores & News
27%

NCAA March Madness Live
16%

Claude by Anthropic
4%

Google Gemini
2%

Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire
2%

Freecash - Get Paid Real Money
1%

Threads
1%
To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
市场开放时间: Mar 16, 2026, 6:55 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors ChatGPT at 48% implied probability for the #2 free app spot in the US Apple App Store on March 20, driven by its explosive recent climb in rankings fueled by viral user adoption of OpenAI's mobile AI chatbot amid broader generative AI hype. CBS Sports App follows at 23.5%, propelled by peak NCAA March Madness viewership during first- and second-round games that weekend, with the official NCAA March Madness Live app at 15.5% benefiting from tournament streaming demand. Lower odds for rivals like Claude (3%) and Google Gemini (2.5%) reflect their newer iOS launches lacking ChatGPT's entrenched momentum, while shopping app Temu (2.1%) fades post-holiday surges; no major updates have shifted sports vs. AI dynamics yet, but daily App Store volatility keeps odds fluid ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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