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icon for 苹果会在6月30日之前发布具有蜂窝连接功能的MacBook吗?

苹果会在6月30日之前发布具有蜂窝连接功能的MacBook吗?

icon for 苹果会在6月30日之前发布具有蜂窝连接功能的MacBook吗?

苹果会在6月30日之前发布具有蜂窝连接功能的MacBook吗?

<1% 概率
Polymarket

$10,556 交易量

<1% 概率
Polymarket

$10,556 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a "MacBook" product with cellular connectivity by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying product must be named "MacBook". A product that would accomplish a similar function will not qualify, the name must actually be "MacBook". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple has not announced or launched any MacBook with built-in cellular connectivity, and the March 2026 M5 Pro and M5 Max MacBook Pro refresh featured only Wi-Fi 7 and Bluetooth via Apple's N1 chip. Rumors from 2025 about internal testing of 5G modems in M5-era prototypes have not translated into a shipping product, consistent with Apple's typical multi-year timeline for new radio hardware, carrier certifications, and regulatory approvals. With just 13 days remaining until the June 30 resolution date, the near-certain "No" odds reflect the absence of any credible launch signals or supply-chain evidence. A surprise announcement and immediate release remains theoretically possible but would require unprecedented acceleration past standard development, testing, and approval hurdles.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a "MacBook" product with cellular connectivity by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying product must be named "MacBook". A product that would accomplish a similar function will not qualify, the name must actually be "MacBook".

In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$10,556
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
Sep 25, 2025, 5:38 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a "MacBook" product with cellular connectivity by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying product must be named "MacBook". A product that would accomplish a similar function will not qualify, the name must actually be "MacBook". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a "MacBook" product with cellular connectivity by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying product must be named "MacBook". A product that would accomplish a similar function will not qualify, the name must actually be "MacBook". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple has not announced or launched any MacBook with built-in cellular connectivity, and the March 2026 M5 Pro and M5 Max MacBook Pro refresh featured only Wi-Fi 7 and Bluetooth via Apple's N1 chip. Rumors from 2025 about internal testing of 5G modems in M5-era prototypes have not translated into a shipping product, consistent with Apple's typical multi-year timeline for new radio hardware, carrier certifications, and regulatory approvals. With just 13 days remaining until the June 30 resolution date, the near-certain "No" odds reflect the absence of any credible launch signals or supply-chain evidence. A surprise announcement and immediate release remains theoretically possible but would require unprecedented acceleration past standard development, testing, and approval hurdles.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a "MacBook" product with cellular connectivity by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying product must be named "MacBook". A product that would accomplish a similar function will not qualify, the name must actually be "MacBook".

In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$10,556
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
Sep 25, 2025, 5:38 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a "MacBook" product with cellular connectivity by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying product must be named "MacBook". A product that would accomplish a similar function will not qualify, the name must actually be "MacBook". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"苹果会在6月30日之前发布具有蜂窝连接功能的MacBook吗?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"苹果会在6月30日前发布支持蜂窝网络连接的MacBook吗?",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 0¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 0%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"苹果会在6月30日之前发布具有蜂窝连接功能的MacBook吗?"已产生 $10.6K 的总交易量(自Sep 25, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"苹果会在6月30日之前发布具有蜂窝连接功能的MacBook吗?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

这是一个非常开放的市场。"苹果会在6月30日之前发布具有蜂窝连接功能的MacBook吗?"的当前领先者是"苹果会在6月30日前发布支持蜂窝网络连接的MacBook吗?",仅有 0%。由于没有任何结果占据明显优势,交易者认为这高度不确定,可能带来独特的交易机会。这些赔率实时更新,请将本页加入书签。

"苹果会在6月30日之前发布具有蜂窝连接功能的MacBook吗?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。