Recent developments show Stripe and Advent International submitted a $60.50-per-share joint bid for PayPal in July 2026, following earlier expressions of interest in February and an initial approach in April, though PayPal’s board has deemed the $53 billion valuation insufficient and talks continue without a signed agreement. The 74.4% market-implied probability of no full acquisition in 2026 reflects the early-stage negotiations, potential regulatory review for a major fintech combination, integration complexities between Stripe’s merchant-focused platform and PayPal’s consumer wallet, and limited time remaining for closing amid PayPal’s ongoing turnaround under its new CEO. Trader consensus prices in these execution risks over the coming months.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
26% 概率
$82,361 交易量
$82,361 交易量
2026-12-30
是
26% 概率
$82,361 交易量
$82,361 交易量
2026-12-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments show Stripe and Advent International submitted a $60.50-per-share joint bid for PayPal in July 2026, following earlier expressions of interest in February and an initial approach in April, though PayPal’s board has deemed the $53 billion valuation insufficient and talks continue without a signed agreement. The 74.4% market-implied probability of no full acquisition in 2026 reflects the early-stage negotiations, potential regulatory review for a major fintech combination, integration complexities between Stripe’s merchant-focused platform and PayPal’s consumer wallet, and limited time remaining for closing amid PayPal’s ongoing turnaround under its new CEO. Trader consensus prices in these execution risks over the coming months.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Feb 24, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
交易量
$82,361结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 24, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments show Stripe and Advent International submitted a $60.50-per-share joint bid for PayPal in July 2026, following earlier expressions of interest in February and an initial approach in April, though PayPal’s board has deemed the $53 billion valuation insufficient and talks continue without a signed agreement. The 74.4% market-implied probability of no full acquisition in 2026 reflects the early-stage negotiations, potential regulatory review for a major fintech combination, integration complexities between Stripe’s merchant-focused platform and PayPal’s consumer wallet, and limited time remaining for closing amid PayPal’s ongoing turnaround under its new CEO. Trader consensus prices in these execution risks over the coming months.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$82,361结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 24, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent developments show Stripe and Advent International submitted a $60.50-per-share joint bid for PayPal in July 2026, following earlier expressions of interest in February and an initial approach in April, though PayPal’s board has deemed the $53 billion valuation insufficient and talks continue without a signed agreement. The 74.4% market-implied probability of no full acquisition in 2026 reflects the early-stage negotiations, potential regulatory review for a major fintech combination, integration complexities between Stripe’s merchant-focused platform and PayPal’s consumer wallet, and limited time remaining for closing amid PayPal’s ongoing turnaround under its new CEO. Trader consensus prices in these execution risks over the coming months.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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