OpenAI’s ChatGPT maintains strong operational stability heading into late August 2026, with its status page reporting 99.66% uptime across ChatGPT components from May through early August and zero incidents recorded so far this month. Recent July outages—multiple global events involving login failures, elevated errors, and service degradation between July 14–25—have heightened awareness of infrastructure strain from rapid large language model scaling and peak usage, yet these were resolved without indicating systemic fragility. Traders view a complete, platform-wide outage in the remaining 28 days as unlikely because OpenAI continues rolling out incremental improvements such as GPT-5.6 variants and voice enhancements while retiring older models on August 9 and 26, changes that historically occur without triggering full downtime. Historical patterns show intermittent partial disruptions rather than prolonged full outages, and no major regulatory, supply-chain, or data-center events appear imminent that would shift this consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
最新
最新
2026-08-31
是
最新
最新
2026-08-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s ChatGPT maintains strong operational stability heading into late August 2026, with its status page reporting 99.66% uptime across ChatGPT components from May through early August and zero incidents recorded so far this month. Recent July outages—multiple global events involving login failures, elevated errors, and service degradation between July 14–25—have heightened awareness of infrastructure strain from rapid large language model scaling and peak usage, yet these were resolved without indicating systemic fragility. Traders view a complete, platform-wide outage in the remaining 28 days as unlikely because OpenAI continues rolling out incremental improvements such as GPT-5.6 variants and voice enhancements while retiring older models on August 9 and 26, changes that historically occur without triggering full downtime. Historical patterns show intermittent partial disruptions rather than prolonged full outages, and no major regulatory, supply-chain, or data-center events appear imminent that would shift this consensus.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 14, 2026, 9:39 PM ET
交易量
$5,360结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Jul 14, 2026, 9:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s ChatGPT maintains strong operational stability heading into late August 2026, with its status page reporting 99.66% uptime across ChatGPT components from May through early August and zero incidents recorded so far this month. Recent July outages—multiple global events involving login failures, elevated errors, and service degradation between July 14–25—have heightened awareness of infrastructure strain from rapid large language model scaling and peak usage, yet these were resolved without indicating systemic fragility. Traders view a complete, platform-wide outage in the remaining 28 days as unlikely because OpenAI continues rolling out incremental improvements such as GPT-5.6 variants and voice enhancements while retiring older models on August 9 and 26, changes that historically occur without triggering full downtime. Historical patterns show intermittent partial disruptions rather than prolonged full outages, and no major regulatory, supply-chain, or data-center events appear imminent that would shift this consensus.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' 'Codex,' 'FedRamp,' or 'Ads Platform,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$5,360结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Jul 14, 2026, 9:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s ChatGPT maintains strong operational stability heading into late August 2026, with its status page reporting 99.66% uptime across ChatGPT components from May through early August and zero incidents recorded so far this month. Recent July outages—multiple global events involving login failures, elevated errors, and service degradation between July 14–25—have heightened awareness of infrastructure strain from rapid large language model scaling and peak usage, yet these were resolved without indicating systemic fragility. Traders view a complete, platform-wide outage in the remaining 28 days as unlikely because OpenAI continues rolling out incremental improvements such as GPT-5.6 variants and voice enhancements while retiring older models on August 9 and 26, changes that historically occur without triggering full downtime. Historical patterns show intermittent partial disruptions rather than prolonged full outages, and no major regulatory, supply-chain, or data-center events appear imminent that would shift this consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题