Recent stability on xAI's Grok (Web) platform, with 30 days of zero disruptions as of August 1, 2026, anchors trader sentiment around low near-term outage risk despite rapid feature expansion. The July rollout of Grok 4.5—the company's most advanced large language model yet—along with integrations into Google Workspace, GitHub Copilot, and broader availability across web, X, iOS, and Android, has increased usage while infrastructure has held steady per official status pages. An upcoming August 5 routing update for Grok Voice Think Fast 2.0 represents the next potential load test. Traders weigh xAI's aggressive scaling and open-sourcing moves against typical post-release strain seen in competing AI services, noting that any significant downtime would require either unexpected traffic spikes or unannounced infrastructure issues to materialize before resolution criteria are met.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
2026-08-31
8月31日
15%
10月31日
54%
12月31日
71%
$732 交易量
8月31日
$732 交易量
15%
10月31日
$0 交易量
54%
12月31日
$0 交易量
71%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Grok (Web) experiences an incident labeled “outage” on the official xAI Grok (Web) status page between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Only incidents listed under Grok (Web) will be considered. Incidents affecting Grok in X, Grok (iOS), Grok (Android), or similar but not Grok (Web), will not qualify.
Incidents labeled “disruption” or “info” will not qualify.
An incident’s status while it remains ongoing will not determine the market’s resolution; only incidents marked “Resolved” will be considered.
An incident which is marked "Resolved" outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at the end of the listed calendar date (ET), in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked “Resolved,” and resolution of this market will be based on the incident classification displayed immediately after it is marked "Resolved."
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official xAI Grok (Web) status page at https://status.x.ai/grok-com. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until it comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".Recent stability on xAI's Grok (Web) platform, with 30 days of zero disruptions as of August 1, 2026, anchors trader sentiment around low near-term outage risk despite rapid feature expansion. The July rollout of Grok 4.5—the company's most advanced large language model yet—along with integrations into Google Workspace, GitHub Copilot, and broader availability across web, X, iOS, and Android, has increased usage while infrastructure has held steady per official status pages. An upcoming August 5 routing update for Grok Voice Think Fast 2.0 represents the next potential load test. Traders weigh xAI's aggressive scaling and open-sourcing moves against typical post-release strain seen in competing AI services, noting that any significant downtime would require either unexpected traffic spikes or unannounced infrastructure issues to materialize before resolution criteria are met.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Grok (Web) experiences an incident labeled “outage” on the official xAI Grok (Web) status page between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Only incidents listed under Grok (Web) will be considered. Incidents affecting Grok in X, Grok (iOS), Grok (Android), or similar but not Grok (Web), will not qualify.
Incidents labeled “disruption” or “info” will not qualify.
An incident’s status while it remains ongoing will not determine the market’s resolution; only incidents marked “Resolved” will be considered.
An incident which is marked "Resolved" outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at the end of the listed calendar date (ET), in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked “Resolved,” and resolution of this market will be based on the incident classification displayed immediately after it is marked "Resolved."
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official xAI Grok (Web) status page at https://status.x.ai/grok-com. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until it comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Only incidents listed under Grok (Web) will be considered. Incidents affecting Grok in X, Grok (iOS), Grok (Android), or similar but not Grok (Web), will not qualify.
Incidents labeled “disruption” or “info” will not qualify.
An incident’s status while it remains ongoing will not determine the market’s resolution; only incidents marked “Resolved” will be considered.
An incident which is marked "Resolved" outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at the end of the listed calendar date (ET), in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked “Resolved,” and resolution of this market will be based on the incident classification displayed immediately after it is marked "Resolved."
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official xAI Grok (Web) status page at https://status.x.ai/grok-com. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until it comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
市场开放时间： Jul 31, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
交易量
$732结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 6:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Grok (Web) experiences an incident labeled “outage” on the official xAI Grok (Web) status page between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Only incidents listed under Grok (Web) will be considered. Incidents affecting Grok in X, Grok (iOS), Grok (Android), or similar but not Grok (Web), will not qualify.
Incidents labeled “disruption” or “info” will not qualify.
An incident’s status while it remains ongoing will not determine the market’s resolution; only incidents marked “Resolved” will be considered.
An incident which is marked "Resolved" outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at the end of the listed calendar date (ET), in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked “Resolved,” and resolution of this market will be based on the incident classification displayed immediately after it is marked "Resolved."
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official xAI Grok (Web) status page at https://status.x.ai/grok-com. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until it comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".Recent stability on xAI's Grok (Web) platform, with 30 days of zero disruptions as of August 1, 2026, anchors trader sentiment around low near-term outage risk despite rapid feature expansion. The July rollout of Grok 4.5—the company's most advanced large language model yet—along with integrations into Google Workspace, GitHub Copilot, and broader availability across web, X, iOS, and Android, has increased usage while infrastructure has held steady per official status pages. An upcoming August 5 routing update for Grok Voice Think Fast 2.0 represents the next potential load test. Traders weigh xAI's aggressive scaling and open-sourcing moves against typical post-release strain seen in competing AI services, noting that any significant downtime would require either unexpected traffic spikes or unannounced infrastructure issues to materialize before resolution criteria are met.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Grok (Web) experiences an incident labeled “outage” on the official xAI Grok (Web) status page between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Only incidents listed under Grok (Web) will be considered. Incidents affecting Grok in X, Grok (iOS), Grok (Android), or similar but not Grok (Web), will not qualify.
Incidents labeled “disruption” or “info” will not qualify.
An incident’s status while it remains ongoing will not determine the market’s resolution; only incidents marked “Resolved” will be considered.
An incident which is marked "Resolved" outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at the end of the listed calendar date (ET), in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked “Resolved,” and resolution of this market will be based on the incident classification displayed immediately after it is marked "Resolved."
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official xAI Grok (Web) status page at https://status.x.ai/grok-com. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until it comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Only incidents listed under Grok (Web) will be considered. Incidents affecting Grok in X, Grok (iOS), Grok (Android), or similar but not Grok (Web), will not qualify.
Incidents labeled “disruption” or “info” will not qualify.
An incident’s status while it remains ongoing will not determine the market’s resolution; only incidents marked “Resolved” will be considered.
An incident which is marked "Resolved" outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at the end of the listed calendar date (ET), in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked “Resolved,” and resolution of this market will be based on the incident classification displayed immediately after it is marked "Resolved."
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official xAI Grok (Web) status page at https://status.x.ai/grok-com. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until it comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
交易量
$732结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 6:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent stability on xAI's Grok (Web) platform, with 30 days of zero disruptions as of August 1, 2026, anchors trader sentiment around low near-term outage risk despite rapid feature expansion. The July rollout of Grok 4.5—the company's most advanced large language model yet—along with integrations into Google Workspace, GitHub Copilot, and broader availability across web, X, iOS, and Android, has increased usage while infrastructure has held steady per official status pages. An upcoming August 5 routing update for Grok Voice Think Fast 2.0 represents the next potential load test. Traders weigh xAI's aggressive scaling and open-sourcing moves against typical post-release strain seen in competing AI services, noting that any significant downtime would require either unexpected traffic spikes or unannounced infrastructure issues to materialize before resolution criteria are met.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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