Apple's established September launch cadence for flagship iPhones, including the iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max models alongside a new foldable device, underpins the 98.3% market-implied odds for a 2026 release. Recent supply-chain and analyst reports confirm preparations for fall announcements and sales, aligning with prior years' timelines despite rumors of a possible spring 2027 debut for the base iPhone 18. Traders view the Pro variants as sufficient to meet resolution criteria. Potential disruptions remain limited but include unforeseen manufacturing delays for advanced components or regulatory scrutiny on new hardware features, though these have rarely altered Apple's core schedule historically.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
99% 概率
$173,200 交易量
$173,200 交易量
2026-12-30
是
99% 概率
$173,200 交易量
$173,200 交易量
2026-12-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple's established September launch cadence for flagship iPhones, including the iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max models alongside a new foldable device, underpins the 98.3% market-implied odds for a 2026 release. Recent supply-chain and analyst reports confirm preparations for fall announcements and sales, aligning with prior years' timelines despite rumors of a possible spring 2027 debut for the base iPhone 18. Traders view the Pro variants as sufficient to meet resolution criteria. Potential disruptions remain limited but include unforeseen manufacturing delays for advanced components or regulatory scrutiny on new hardware features, though these have rarely altered Apple's core schedule historically.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ET
交易量
$173,200结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple's established September launch cadence for flagship iPhones, including the iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max models alongside a new foldable device, underpins the 98.3% market-implied odds for a 2026 release. Recent supply-chain and analyst reports confirm preparations for fall announcements and sales, aligning with prior years' timelines despite rumors of a possible spring 2027 debut for the base iPhone 18. Traders view the Pro variants as sufficient to meet resolution criteria. Potential disruptions remain limited but include unforeseen manufacturing delays for advanced components or regulatory scrutiny on new hardware features, though these have rarely altered Apple's core schedule historically.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$173,200结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Apple's established September launch cadence for flagship iPhones, including the iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max models alongside a new foldable device, underpins the 98.3% market-implied odds for a 2026 release. Recent supply-chain and analyst reports confirm preparations for fall announcements and sales, aligning with prior years' timelines despite rumors of a possible spring 2027 debut for the base iPhone 18. Traders view the Pro variants as sufficient to meet resolution criteria. Potential disruptions remain limited but include unforeseen manufacturing delays for advanced components or regulatory scrutiny on new hardware features, though these have rarely altered Apple's core schedule historically.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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