The contest for second place in Alagoas’s two-seat Senate race stays tightly contested among several declared candidates, including Renan Calheiros of the MDB, Arthur Lira of the PP, Dr. Wanderley of the MDB, Marina Cândia of the PSDB, Davi Davino Filho of the Republicanos, and others such as Alexandre Fleming and Mariedson. Recent candidate adjustments—most notably Alfredo Gaspar’s withdrawal to join a national ticket—have redistributed voter preferences and kept multiple names within narrow margins in available surveys. Family and party rivalries, combined with ongoing coalition negotiations and the entry of high-visibility figures like Marina Cândia, sustain the uncertainty over which contender secures the remaining vacancy. Traders price the field accordingly, with no single name dominating implied probabilities for the runner-up spot ahead of the October 2026 vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于雷南 26%
玛丽娜·JHC 25%
Davi Davino Filho 25%
万德雷医生 25%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
雷南
26%
玛丽娜·JHC
25%
Davi Davino Filho
25%
万德雷医生
25%
阿图尔·利拉
24%
亚历山大·弗莱明
23%
马列德森
22%
雷南 26%
玛丽娜·JHC 25%
Davi Davino Filho 25%
万德雷医生 25%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
雷南
$0 交易量
26%
玛丽娜·JHC
$0 交易量
25%
Davi Davino Filho
$0 交易量
25%
万德雷医生
$0 交易量
25%
阿图尔·利拉
$0 交易量
24%
亚历山大·弗莱明
$0 交易量
23%
马列德森
$0 交易量
22%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The contest for second place in Alagoas’s two-seat Senate race stays tightly contested among several declared candidates, including Renan Calheiros of the MDB, Arthur Lira of the PP, Dr. Wanderley of the MDB, Marina Cândia of the PSDB, Davi Davino Filho of the Republicanos, and others such as Alexandre Fleming and Mariedson. Recent candidate adjustments—most notably Alfredo Gaspar’s withdrawal to join a national ticket—have redistributed voter preferences and kept multiple names within narrow margins in available surveys. Family and party rivalries, combined with ongoing coalition negotiations and the entry of high-visibility figures like Marina Cândia, sustain the uncertainty over which contender secures the remaining vacancy. Traders price the field accordingly, with no single name dominating implied probabilities for the runner-up spot ahead of the October 2026 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The contest for second place in Alagoas’s two-seat Senate race stays tightly contested among several declared candidates, including Renan Calheiros of the MDB, Arthur Lira of the PP, Dr. Wanderley of the MDB, Marina Cândia of the PSDB, Davi Davino Filho of the Republicanos, and others such as Alexandre Fleming and Mariedson. Recent candidate adjustments—most notably Alfredo Gaspar’s withdrawal to join a national ticket—have redistributed voter preferences and kept multiple names within narrow margins in available surveys. Family and party rivalries, combined with ongoing coalition negotiations and the entry of high-visibility figures like Marina Cândia, sustain the uncertainty over which contender secures the remaining vacancy. Traders price the field accordingly, with no single name dominating implied probabilities for the runner-up spot ahead of the October 2026 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The contest for second place in Alagoas’s two-seat Senate race stays tightly contested among several declared candidates, including Renan Calheiros of the MDB, Arthur Lira of the PP, Dr. Wanderley of the MDB, Marina Cândia of the PSDB, Davi Davino Filho of the Republicanos, and others such as Alexandre Fleming and Mariedson. Recent candidate adjustments—most notably Alfredo Gaspar’s withdrawal to join a national ticket—have redistributed voter preferences and kept multiple names within narrow margins in available surveys. Family and party rivalries, combined with ongoing coalition negotiations and the entry of high-visibility figures like Marina Cândia, sustain the uncertainty over which contender secures the remaining vacancy. Traders price the field accordingly, with no single name dominating implied probabilities for the runner-up spot ahead of the October 2026 vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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