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icon for 疾病预防控制中心在12月31日前发出4级警告?

疾病预防控制中心在12月31日前发出4级警告?

icon for 疾病预防控制中心在12月31日前发出4级警告?

疾病预防控制中心在12月31日前发出4级警告?

12月 31

12月 31

24% 概率
Polymarket

$71,851 交易量

24% 概率
Polymarket

$71,851 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 4 (“Avoid All Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A Level 4 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.No CDC Level 4 “Avoid All Travel” notices are active as of early June 2026, with the agency’s official notices page confirming zero entries at that threshold. Recent health alerts remain at Level 1 or 2 for dengue across 16 countries and polio circulation in parts of Africa and Asia, while Ebola monitoring in the Democratic Republic of the Congo has prompted enhanced screening but not a Level 4 designation. These contained outbreaks and lower-tier precautions reflect current epidemiological data showing no extreme, unmitigable global health risks meeting the criteria for a highest-level notice before year-end. Trader consensus at 76.5% against issuance aligns with the absence of rapid escalation signals in official surveillance.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 4 (“Avoid All Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A Level 4 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$71,851
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Jan 19, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 4 (“Avoid All Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A Level 4 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 4 (“Avoid All Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A Level 4 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.No CDC Level 4 “Avoid All Travel” notices are active as of early June 2026, with the agency’s official notices page confirming zero entries at that threshold. Recent health alerts remain at Level 1 or 2 for dengue across 16 countries and polio circulation in parts of Africa and Asia, while Ebola monitoring in the Democratic Republic of the Congo has prompted enhanced screening but not a Level 4 designation. These contained outbreaks and lower-tier precautions reflect current epidemiological data showing no extreme, unmitigable global health risks meeting the criteria for a highest-level notice before year-end. Trader consensus at 76.5% against issuance aligns with the absence of rapid escalation signals in official surveillance.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 4 (“Avoid All Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A Level 4 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$71,851
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Jan 19, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 4 (“Avoid All Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A Level 4 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"疾病预防控制中心在12月31日前发出4级警告?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"到12月31日,CDC发布四级警告?",概率为 24%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 24¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 24%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"疾病预防控制中心在12月31日前发出4级警告?"已产生 $71.9K 的总交易量(自Jan 19, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"疾病预防控制中心在12月31日前发出4级警告?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"疾病预防控制中心在12月31日前发出4级警告?"的当前领先者是"到12月31日,CDC发布四级警告?",概率为 24%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 24%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"疾病预防控制中心在12月31日前发出4级警告?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。