The ongoing Democratic Republic of the Congo outbreak, now the nation’s deadliest with over 7,000 confirmed Bundibugyo virus cases across seven provinces and a case fatality ratio near 48%, anchors trader sentiment on countries reporting at least one 2026 case. Rapid geographic expansion from the Ituri epicenter, driven by conflict zones, suboptimal contact tracing, and population movement, has already produced imported detections in Uganda (outbreak since declared over) and France, plus isolated reports in Germany. Market-implied odds reflect high probability for DRC and elevated risk for immediate neighbors, while distant spread hinges on travel patterns and response scaling. Key upcoming catalysts include weekly case updates, WHO PHEIC reviews, and any new cross-border transmissions before year-end resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
$38,659 交易量
2026-12-31
South Sudan
56%
Rwanda
22%
Burundi
48%
United States
20%
Canada
23%
Kenya
24%
India
46%
Republic of the Congo
24%
Nigeria
49%
Ethiopia
52%
Somalia
36%
China
14%
$38,659 交易量
South Sudan
$4,363 交易量
56%
Rwanda
$2,149 交易量
22%
Burundi
$202 交易量
48%
United States
$10,507 交易量
20%
Canada
$2,307 交易量
23%
Kenya
$235 交易量
24%
India
$737 交易量
46%
Republic of the Congo
$12,400 交易量
24%
Nigeria
$25 交易量
49%
Ethiopia
$107 交易量
52%
Somalia
$129 交易量
36%
China
$3,543 交易量
14%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.The ongoing Democratic Republic of the Congo outbreak, now the nation’s deadliest with over 7,000 confirmed Bundibugyo virus cases across seven provinces and a case fatality ratio near 48%, anchors trader sentiment on countries reporting at least one 2026 case. Rapid geographic expansion from the Ituri epicenter, driven by conflict zones, suboptimal contact tracing, and population movement, has already produced imported detections in Uganda (outbreak since declared over) and France, plus isolated reports in Germany. Market-implied odds reflect high probability for DRC and elevated risk for immediate neighbors, while distant spread hinges on travel patterns and response scaling. Key upcoming catalysts include weekly case updates, WHO PHEIC reviews, and any new cross-border transmissions before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
市场开放时间： May 22, 2026, 12:35 PM ET
交易量
$38,659结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
May 22, 2026, 12:35 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.The ongoing Democratic Republic of the Congo outbreak, now the nation’s deadliest with over 7,000 confirmed Bundibugyo virus cases across seven provinces and a case fatality ratio near 48%, anchors trader sentiment on countries reporting at least one 2026 case. Rapid geographic expansion from the Ituri epicenter, driven by conflict zones, suboptimal contact tracing, and population movement, has already produced imported detections in Uganda (outbreak since declared over) and France, plus isolated reports in Germany. Market-implied odds reflect high probability for DRC and elevated risk for immediate neighbors, while distant spread hinges on travel patterns and response scaling. Key upcoming catalysts include weekly case updates, WHO PHEIC reviews, and any new cross-border transmissions before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
交易量
$38,659结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
May 22, 2026, 12:35 PM ETThe ongoing Democratic Republic of the Congo outbreak, now the nation’s deadliest with over 7,000 confirmed Bundibugyo virus cases across seven provinces and a case fatality ratio near 48%, anchors trader sentiment on countries reporting at least one 2026 case. Rapid geographic expansion from the Ituri epicenter, driven by conflict zones, suboptimal contact tracing, and population movement, has already produced imported detections in Uganda (outbreak since declared over) and France, plus isolated reports in Germany. Market-implied odds reflect high probability for DRC and elevated risk for immediate neighbors, while distant spread hinges on travel patterns and response scaling. Key upcoming catalysts include weekly case updates, WHO PHEIC reviews, and any new cross-border transmissions before year-end resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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