Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward no critical Discord incident by April 30, with 57% implied probability, reflecting the platform's solid operational track record despite recent partial outages. A networking issue on March 25 caused temporary connection problems and degraded streaming/messaging for several hours, resolved swiftly, following similar short-lived disruptions on March 19 (voice calls) and March 9 (messaging). No data breaches, exploits, or widespread hacks have materialized in 2026, buoyed by 99%+ uptime across API, voice, and client components per Discord's status page. With a month remaining, traders weigh Discord's rapid incident mitigation against potential cyber threats or scaling strains amid gaming community growth, awaiting any escalation before the deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Apr 30, 2026
NEW
NEW
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward no critical Discord incident by April 30, with 57% implied probability, reflecting the platform's solid operational track record despite recent partial outages. A networking issue on March 25 caused temporary connection problems and degraded streaming/messaging for several hours, resolved swiftly, following similar short-lived disruptions on March 19 (voice calls) and March 9 (messaging). No data breaches, exploits, or widespread hacks have materialized in 2026, buoyed by 99%+ uptime across API, voice, and client components per Discord's status page. With a month remaining, traders weigh Discord's rapid incident mitigation against potential cyber threats or scaling strains amid gaming community growth, awaiting any escalation before the deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
市场开放时间： Mar 27, 2026, 6:41 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Apr 30, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 6:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward no critical Discord incident by April 30, with 57% implied probability, reflecting the platform's solid operational track record despite recent partial outages. A networking issue on March 25 caused temporary connection problems and degraded streaming/messaging for several hours, resolved swiftly, following similar short-lived disruptions on March 19 (voice calls) and March 9 (messaging). No data breaches, exploits, or widespread hacks have materialized in 2026, buoyed by 99%+ uptime across API, voice, and client components per Discord's status page. With a month remaining, traders weigh Discord's rapid incident mitigation against potential cyber threats or scaling strains amid gaming community growth, awaiting any escalation before the deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Discord experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
Qualifying incidents may include outages and other issues that Discord classifies as Critical.
Revisions to the impact classification of any such incident will be considered as long as those revisions are published within this market’s timeframe. However, revisions of a previously published incident impact classification of Critical (red) to another classification will not disqualify an incident from counting.
If an incident is ongoing at this market’s resolution time, the market may remain open until that incident receives an official impact classification, and it will resolve based on the first such classification published, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Discord (for example, on discordstatus.com or discordstatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Note: Discord impact classifications of Major (orange) and Critical (red) are not equivalent.
交易量
$0结束日期
Apr 30, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 6:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward no critical Discord incident by April 30, with 57% implied probability, reflecting the platform's solid operational track record despite recent partial outages. A networking issue on March 25 caused temporary connection problems and degraded streaming/messaging for several hours, resolved swiftly, following similar short-lived disruptions on March 19 (voice calls) and March 9 (messaging). No data breaches, exploits, or widespread hacks have materialized in 2026, buoyed by 99%+ uptime across API, voice, and client components per Discord's status page. With a month remaining, traders weigh Discord's rapid incident mitigation against potential cyber threats or scaling strains amid gaming community growth, awaiting any escalation before the deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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