Trader consensus favors 65-89 X posts by Elon Musk from April 9-11 at 43.5% implied probability, anchored by his consistent daily cadence of around 35 tweets observed in the April 3-10 window (212 total posts over six days per tracker data synced early April 9). This positions the range as a prudent projection amid steady viral engagement on Grok AI features, Cybertruck showcases, and cultural quips, with no sharp drops or spikes in the past 48 hours. The trailing 40-64 bucket (23.5%) accounts for potential weekend slowdowns, while 90-114 (21.5%) hedges against event-driven surges like Tesla updates or DOGE policy announcements. Absent major catalysts, markets reflect "wisdom of crowds" calibration to his high-volume norm, though real-time posts could swing sentiment rapidly.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于65-89 44%
40-64 25%
90-114 22%
115-139 6%
$267,386 交易量
$267,386 交易量
2026-04-11
少于40
2%
40-64
25%
65-89
44%
90-114
22%
115-139
6%
140-164
1%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 44%
40-64 25%
90-114 22%
115-139 6%
$267,386 交易量
$267,386 交易量
2026-04-11
少于40
$33,749 交易量
2%
40-64
$15,842 交易量
25%
65-89
$15,466 交易量
44%
90-114
$11,547 交易量
22%
115-139
$11,531 交易量
6%
140-164
$27,024 交易量
1%
165-189
$20,699 交易量
1%
190-214
$40,488 交易量
<1%
215-239
$42,434 交易量
<1%
240+
$48,772 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 9 12:00 PM ET to April 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus favors 65-89 X posts by Elon Musk from April 9-11 at 43.5% implied probability, anchored by his consistent daily cadence of around 35 tweets observed in the April 3-10 window (212 total posts over six days per tracker data synced early April 9). This positions the range as a prudent projection amid steady viral engagement on Grok AI features, Cybertruck showcases, and cultural quips, with no sharp drops or spikes in the past 48 hours. The trailing 40-64 bucket (23.5%) accounts for potential weekend slowdowns, while 90-114 (21.5%) hedges against event-driven surges like Tesla updates or DOGE policy announcements. Absent major catalysts, markets reflect "wisdom of crowds" calibration to his high-volume norm, though real-time posts could swing sentiment rapidly.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 9 12:00 PM ET to April 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Apr 6, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
交易量
$267,386结束日期
2026-04-11市场开放时间
Apr 6, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 9 12:00 PM ET to April 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus favors 65-89 X posts by Elon Musk from April 9-11 at 43.5% implied probability, anchored by his consistent daily cadence of around 35 tweets observed in the April 3-10 window (212 total posts over six days per tracker data synced early April 9). This positions the range as a prudent projection amid steady viral engagement on Grok AI features, Cybertruck showcases, and cultural quips, with no sharp drops or spikes in the past 48 hours. The trailing 40-64 bucket (23.5%) accounts for potential weekend slowdowns, while 90-114 (21.5%) hedges against event-driven surges like Tesla updates or DOGE policy announcements. Absent major catalysts, markets reflect "wisdom of crowds" calibration to his high-volume norm, though real-time posts could swing sentiment rapidly.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 9 12:00 PM ET to April 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$267,386结束日期
2026-04-11市场开放时间
Apr 6, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 65-89 X posts by Elon Musk from April 9-11 at 43.5% implied probability, anchored by his consistent daily cadence of around 35 tweets observed in the April 3-10 window (212 total posts over six days per tracker data synced early April 9). This positions the range as a prudent projection amid steady viral engagement on Grok AI features, Cybertruck showcases, and cultural quips, with no sharp drops or spikes in the past 48 hours. The trailing 40-64 bucket (23.5%) accounts for potential weekend slowdowns, while 90-114 (21.5%) hedges against event-driven surges like Tesla updates or DOGE policy announcements. Absent major catalysts, markets reflect "wisdom of crowds" calibration to his high-volume norm, though real-time posts could swing sentiment rapidly.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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