Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "Trump" at 94% implied probability for mention in the April 10 All-In Podcast, reflecting the hosts' consistent political commentary amid 2026's Trump administration dynamics, including tariffs and foreign policy tensions like Iran. High odds on AI-centric terms—"Open Source" (77%), "Software" (77%), "Anthropic" (67%)—stem from recent episodes featuring Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang on physical AI and inference, plus Palantir/Anduril execs on defense drones and warfare AI, underscoring Silicon Valley's shift toward hardware and regulatory challenges. With no guest announced and the episode imminent, traders anticipate core discussions on these recurring tech and geopolitical catalysts, though low liquidity on niche outcomes signals uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$10,260 交易量
AI 15+ times
80%
Silicon Valley 2+ times
34%
Structural change
16%
Mark Zuckerberg
17%
Construction
19%
Open Source
52%
Constitution
24%
Data Center
61%
Polymarket
74%
Best friend
11%
Regulatory
33%
Alignment
17%
Software
86%
Anthropic
74%
51%
Nvidia
64%
Poland
13%
Token
63%
Safety
35%
Winner
59%
China
78%
Paris
12%
Trump
95%
Cookie
14%
Deepfake
14%
$10,260 交易量
AI 15+ times
80%
Silicon Valley 2+ times
34%
Structural change
16%
Mark Zuckerberg
17%
Construction
19%
Open Source
52%
Constitution
24%
Data Center
61%
Polymarket
74%
Best friend
11%
Regulatory
33%
Alignment
17%
Software
86%
Anthropic
74%
51%
Nvidia
64%
Poland
13%
Token
63%
Safety
35%
Winner
59%
China
78%
Paris
12%
Trump
95%
Cookie
14%
Deepfake
14%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the next released episode of the All-In Podcast. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old episodes or prerecorded clips are aired where people are speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will count toward this market's resolution.
Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market will resolve according to the next episode of the All-In Podcast added to the official YouTube playlist: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLn5MTSAqaf8peDZQ57QkJBzewJU1aUokl. Specials or other videos posted on the YouTube channel but not included on the All-In Podcast playlist will not be considered.
If no such episode of the All-In Podcast is aired by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be audio of the event.
市场开放时间: Apr 7, 2026, 5:53 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the next released episode of the All-In Podcast. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If clips of old episodes or prerecorded clips are aired where people are speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will count toward this market's resolution.
Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market will resolve according to the next episode of the All-In Podcast added to the official YouTube playlist: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLn5MTSAqaf8peDZQ57QkJBzewJU1aUokl. Specials or other videos posted on the YouTube channel but not included on the All-In Podcast playlist will not be considered.
If no such episode of the All-In Podcast is aired by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be audio of the event.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "Trump" at 94% implied probability for mention in the April 10 All-In Podcast, reflecting the hosts' consistent political commentary amid 2026's Trump administration dynamics, including tariffs and foreign policy tensions like Iran. High odds on AI-centric terms—"Open Source" (77%), "Software" (77%), "Anthropic" (67%)—stem from recent episodes featuring Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang on physical AI and inference, plus Palantir/Anduril execs on defense drones and warfare AI, underscoring Silicon Valley's shift toward hardware and regulatory challenges. With no guest announced and the episode imminent, traders anticipate core discussions on these recurring tech and geopolitical catalysts, though low liquidity on niche outcomes signals uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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