Madison Air Solutions' recent S-1/A filing on April 6, 2026, set IPO terms for 82.7 million shares at $25–$27 apiece, implying a fully diluted market cap of $12.2–$13.2 billion and up to $2.23 billion in proceeds primarily for repaying $5.6 billion in long-term debt. Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 37% implied probability for sub-$12 billion valuation—below the range floor—reflecting selective investor demand amid volatile equity markets and scrutiny over the industrial HVAC firm's 27% revenue growth to $3.34 billion in 2025, despite data center cooling tailwinds. The 23.5% odds on $13.5 billion+ signal upside potential from strong execution, with pricing eyed for the week of April 13 ahead of NYSE debut under MAIR.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于13.5B+ 24%
<12.0B 22%
12.5B–13.0B 22%
No IPO before June 2026 11%
<12.0B
26%
12.0B–12.5B
6%
12.5B–13.0B
16%
13.0B–13.5B
7%
13.5B+
24%
No IPO before June 2026
11%
13.5B+ 24%
<12.0B 22%
12.5B–13.0B 22%
No IPO before June 2026 11%
<12.0B
26%
12.0B–12.5B
6%
12.5B–13.0B
16%
13.0B–13.5B
7%
13.5B+
24%
No IPO before June 2026
11%
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on April 16 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
市场开放时间: Apr 7, 2026, 6:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on April 16 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before June 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Madison Air Solutions' recent S-1/A filing on April 6, 2026, set IPO terms for 82.7 million shares at $25–$27 apiece, implying a fully diluted market cap of $12.2–$13.2 billion and up to $2.23 billion in proceeds primarily for repaying $5.6 billion in long-term debt. Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 37% implied probability for sub-$12 billion valuation—below the range floor—reflecting selective investor demand amid volatile equity markets and scrutiny over the industrial HVAC firm's 27% revenue growth to $3.34 billion in 2025, despite data center cooling tailwinds. The 23.5% odds on $13.5 billion+ signal upside potential from strong execution, with pricing eyed for the week of April 13 ahead of NYSE debut under MAIR.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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