SpaceX’s June IPO commands near-certain market-implied odds following the company’s accelerated timeline: confidential SEC filing in April, public S-1 on May 20, early-June roadshow, and pricing of 555.6 million shares at $135 on June 11 for a record $75 billion raise at roughly $1.75 trillion valuation. Strong institutional oversubscription and Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX reflect robust demand and a faster-than-expected regulatory review. While the 100% June consensus embeds this momentum, realistic challenges include any final-hour disclosure issues or abrupt market volatility that could force a brief postponement, though such outcomes appear remote given the deal’s advanced stage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于六月 100.0%
二月 <1%
三月 <1%
四月 <1%
$566,190 交易量
$566,190 交易量
2026-12-31
二月
否
三月
否
四月
否
5月
否
六月
是
7月
否
八月
否
九月
否
十月
否
十一月
否
12月
否
2027年前无首次公开募股
否
六月 100.0%
二月 <1%
三月 <1%
四月 <1%
$566,190 交易量
$566,190 交易量
2026-12-31
二月
$2,071 交易量
否
三月
$51,009 交易量
否
四月
$37,594 交易量
否
5月
$101,066 交易量
否
六月
$222,948 交易量
是
7月
$29,695 交易量
否
八月
$18,834 交易量
否
九月
$19,268 交易量
否
十月
$17,283 交易量
否
十一月
$16,223 交易量
否
12月
$10,589 交易量
否
2027年前无首次公开募股
$39,609 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.SpaceX’s June IPO commands near-certain market-implied odds following the company’s accelerated timeline: confidential SEC filing in April, public S-1 on May 20, early-June roadshow, and pricing of 555.6 million shares at $135 on June 11 for a record $75 billion raise at roughly $1.75 trillion valuation. Strong institutional oversubscription and Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX reflect robust demand and a faster-than-expected regulatory review. While the 100% June consensus embeds this momentum, realistic challenges include any final-hour disclosure issues or abrupt market volatility that could force a brief postponement, though such outcomes appear remote given the deal’s advanced stage.
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
市场开放时间： Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
交易量
$566,190结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.SpaceX’s June IPO commands near-certain market-implied odds following the company’s accelerated timeline: confidential SEC filing in April, public S-1 on May 20, early-June roadshow, and pricing of 555.6 million shares at $135 on June 11 for a record $75 billion raise at roughly $1.75 trillion valuation. Strong institutional oversubscription and Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX reflect robust demand and a faster-than-expected regulatory review. While the 100% June consensus embeds this momentum, realistic challenges include any final-hour disclosure issues or abrupt market volatility that could force a brief postponement, though such outcomes appear remote given the deal’s advanced stage.
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
交易量
$566,190结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
SpaceX’s June IPO commands near-certain market-implied odds following the company’s accelerated timeline: confidential SEC filing in April, public S-1 on May 20, early-June roadshow, and pricing of 555.6 million shares at $135 on June 11 for a record $75 billion raise at roughly $1.75 trillion valuation. Strong institutional oversubscription and Nasdaq listing under ticker SPCX reflect robust demand and a faster-than-expected regulatory review. While the 100% June consensus embeds this momentum, realistic challenges include any final-hour disclosure issues or abrupt market volatility that could force a brief postponement, though such outcomes appear remote given the deal’s advanced stage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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