Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 240-299 posts for Elon Musk's X activity from April 10-17, with 260-279 leading at 20.5% implied probability and 240-259/280-299 each at 18.5%, capturing over half the market amid Elon's variable posting rhythm. Recent xTracker data shows April 3-10 pacing at 179 posts (86% elapsed, ~30 daily average, projecting ~208 total), down from March 27-April 3's resolved 260-279 amid higher political buzz, while April 4-6 hit 65-89. Differentiators include potential viral spikes from SpaceX milestones like Terafab or Tesla inventory pushes, versus quieter periods without controversies; watch April 17 resolution at 12 PM ET for real-time shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于260-279 21%
240-259 19%
280-299 19%
220-239 12%
最新
$603,953 交易量
最新
$603,953 交易量
2026-04-17
少于20条
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
2%
200-219
6%
220-239
12%
240-259
19%
260-279
21%
280-299
19%
300-319
11%
320-339
7%
340-359
3%
360-379
1%
380-399
1%
400-419
1%
420-439
1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
260-279 21%
240-259 19%
280-299 19%
220-239 12%
最新
$603,953 交易量
最新
$603,953 交易量
2026-04-17
少于20条
$13,137 交易量
<1%
20-39
$7,381 交易量
<1%
40-59
$7,946 交易量
<1%
60-79
$32,969 交易量
<1%
80-99
$40,608 交易量
<1%
100-119
$20,146 交易量
<1%
120-139
$26,409 交易量
<1%
140-159
$21,425 交易量
<1%
160-179
$18,318 交易量
1%
180-199
$20,324 交易量
2%
200-219
$12,136 交易量
6%
220-239
$12,676 交易量
12%
240-259
$23,464 交易量
19%
260-279
$26,451 交易量
21%
280-299
$23,629 交易量
19%
300-319
$9,153 交易量
11%
320-339
$9,808 交易量
7%
340-359
$8,872 交易量
3%
360-379
$9,608 交易量
1%
380-399
$11,223 交易量
1%
400-419
$13,581 交易量
1%
420-439
$10,960 交易量
1%
440-459
$13,178 交易量
<1%
460-479
$16,310 交易量
<1%
480-499
$10,663 交易量
<1%
500-519
$12,829 交易量
<1%
520-539
$19,874 交易量
<1%
540-559
$25,158 交易量
<1%
560-579
$60,129 交易量
<1%
580+
$67,016 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 240-299 posts for Elon Musk's X activity from April 10-17, with 260-279 leading at 20.5% implied probability and 240-259/280-299 each at 18.5%, capturing over half the market amid Elon's variable posting rhythm. Recent xTracker data shows April 3-10 pacing at 179 posts (86% elapsed, ~30 daily average, projecting ~208 total), down from March 27-April 3's resolved 260-279 amid higher political buzz, while April 4-6 hit 65-89. Differentiators include potential viral spikes from SpaceX milestones like Terafab or Tesla inventory pushes, versus quieter periods without controversies; watch April 17 resolution at 12 PM ET for real-time shifts.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$603,953结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 240-299 posts for Elon Musk's X activity from April 10-17, with 260-279 leading at 20.5% implied probability and 240-259/280-299 each at 18.5%, capturing over half the market amid Elon's variable posting rhythm. Recent xTracker data shows April 3-10 pacing at 179 posts (86% elapsed, ~30 daily average, projecting ~208 total), down from March 27-April 3's resolved 260-279 amid higher political buzz, while April 4-6 hit 65-89. Differentiators include potential viral spikes from SpaceX milestones like Terafab or Tesla inventory pushes, versus quieter periods without controversies; watch April 17 resolution at 12 PM ET for real-time shifts.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$603,953结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 240-299 posts for Elon Musk's X activity from April 10-17, with 260-279 leading at 20.5% implied probability and 240-259/280-299 each at 18.5%, capturing over half the market amid Elon's variable posting rhythm. Recent xTracker data shows April 3-10 pacing at 179 posts (86% elapsed, ~30 daily average, projecting ~208 total), down from March 27-April 3's resolved 260-279 amid higher political buzz, while April 4-6 hit 65-89. Differentiators include potential viral spikes from SpaceX milestones like Terafab or Tesla inventory pushes, versus quieter periods without controversies; watch April 17 resolution at 12 PM ET for real-time shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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