The Espírito Santo Senate race features a clear polling leader in former governor Renato Casagrande, leaving a fragmented contest for the second seat among multiple incumbents and party figures including Fabiano Contarato, Marcos do Val, Sergio Meneguelli, Rose de Freitas, Maguinha Malta, and Evair de Melo. Recent July 2026 surveys from Quaest and Real Time Big Data show Casagrande ahead at 24-32% while the remaining candidates cluster in the single digits to low teens, with high undecided shares sustaining volatility. This spread of viable contenders from distinct parties, combined with limited differentiation on key state issues, keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered near even odds for second place. Late-cycle endorsements, coalition alignments, or turnout shifts among specific voting blocs could still reorder the field before October balloting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于雷纳托·卡萨格兰德 44%
Rodney Miranda 44%
塞尔吉奥·梅内格利 44%
法比安教授 44%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
雷纳托·卡萨格兰德
44%
Rodney Miranda
44%
塞尔吉奥·梅内格利
44%
法比安教授
44%
罗丝·德·弗雷塔斯
43%
卡莱加里
42%
莱昂纳多·蒙贾尔迪姆
42%
Evair de Melo
41%
法比亚诺·孔塔拉托
41%
玛吉尼亚·马尔塔
41%
马科斯·多·瓦尔
41%
雷纳托·卡萨格兰德 44%
Rodney Miranda 44%
塞尔吉奥·梅内格利 44%
法比安教授 44%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
雷纳托·卡萨格兰德
$0 交易量
44%
Rodney Miranda
$0 交易量
44%
塞尔吉奥·梅内格利
$0 交易量
44%
法比安教授
$0 交易量
44%
罗丝·德·弗雷塔斯
$0 交易量
43%
卡莱加里
$0 交易量
42%
莱昂纳多·蒙贾尔迪姆
$0 交易量
42%
Evair de Melo
$0 交易量
41%
法比亚诺·孔塔拉托
$0 交易量
41%
玛吉尼亚·马尔塔
$0 交易量
41%
马科斯·多·瓦尔
$0 交易量
41%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Espírito Santo Senate race features a clear polling leader in former governor Renato Casagrande, leaving a fragmented contest for the second seat among multiple incumbents and party figures including Fabiano Contarato, Marcos do Val, Sergio Meneguelli, Rose de Freitas, Maguinha Malta, and Evair de Melo. Recent July 2026 surveys from Quaest and Real Time Big Data show Casagrande ahead at 24-32% while the remaining candidates cluster in the single digits to low teens, with high undecided shares sustaining volatility. This spread of viable contenders from distinct parties, combined with limited differentiation on key state issues, keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered near even odds for second place. Late-cycle endorsements, coalition alignments, or turnout shifts among specific voting blocs could still reorder the field before October balloting.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Espírito Santo Senate race features a clear polling leader in former governor Renato Casagrande, leaving a fragmented contest for the second seat among multiple incumbents and party figures including Fabiano Contarato, Marcos do Val, Sergio Meneguelli, Rose de Freitas, Maguinha Malta, and Evair de Melo. Recent July 2026 surveys from Quaest and Real Time Big Data show Casagrande ahead at 24-32% while the remaining candidates cluster in the single digits to low teens, with high undecided shares sustaining volatility. This spread of viable contenders from distinct parties, combined with limited differentiation on key state issues, keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered near even odds for second place. Late-cycle endorsements, coalition alignments, or turnout shifts among specific voting blocs could still reorder the field before October balloting.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Espírito Santo Senate race features a clear polling leader in former governor Renato Casagrande, leaving a fragmented contest for the second seat among multiple incumbents and party figures including Fabiano Contarato, Marcos do Val, Sergio Meneguelli, Rose de Freitas, Maguinha Malta, and Evair de Melo. Recent July 2026 surveys from Quaest and Real Time Big Data show Casagrande ahead at 24-32% while the remaining candidates cluster in the single digits to low teens, with high undecided shares sustaining volatility. This spread of viable contenders from distinct parties, combined with limited differentiation on key state issues, keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered near even odds for second place. Late-cycle endorsements, coalition alignments, or turnout shifts among specific voting blocs could still reorder the field before October balloting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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