Ashley Moody secured the Republican nomination in Florida's August 18, 2026, special Senate primary with roughly 80 percent of the vote, reflecting her status as the appointed incumbent following Marco Rubio's resignation and strong party support as a two-term former attorney general. Minor challengers failed to mount credible campaigns, leaving Moody with broad establishment backing, high name recognition, and fundraising advantages typical of an unopposed or lightly contested primary in a solidly Republican state. Trader consensus at near-certainty levels aligns with these primary results and historical patterns for appointed Senate successors facing weak opposition. Scenarios that could still affect final resolution include any remaining certification delays or legal challenges, though none have emerged.