Ongoing gang violence, funding shortfalls, and institutional capacity constraints continue to complicate Haiti's electoral timeline, with the Provisional Electoral Council postponing voter registration in April 2026 shortly after the transitional government's announcement of an August 30 first-round vote and December runoff. These factors sustain trader caution around further slippage despite reaffirmed commitments to install a new president by February 2027. The narrow 54% implied probability for additional delay reflects balanced assessments of security restoration efforts and logistical preparations against persistent instability that has repeatedly pushed back polls since 2019. Improved security conditions or secured international support could accelerate registration and campaigning, while escalated violence or budget shortfalls would likely extend the postponement pattern.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$11,733 交易量
$11,733 交易量
2026-08-30
$11,733 交易量
$11,733 交易量
2026-08-30
After earlier delays, the first round of the 2026 Haitian legislative and presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 30, 2026, with a potential second round set for December 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency or the national legislative bodies, including the Senate (Sénat) and the Chamber of Deputies (Chambre des Députés), is rescheduled to take place after August 30, 2026, or otherwise does not take place by August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary source of resolution for this market will be Official information from the Haitian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ongoing gang violence, funding shortfalls, and institutional capacity constraints continue to complicate Haiti's electoral timeline, with the Provisional Electoral Council postponing voter registration in April 2026 shortly after the transitional government's announcement of an August 30 first-round vote and December runoff. These factors sustain trader caution around further slippage despite reaffirmed commitments to install a new president by February 2027. The narrow 54% implied probability for additional delay reflects balanced assessments of security restoration efforts and logistical preparations against persistent instability that has repeatedly pushed back polls since 2019. Improved security conditions or secured international support could accelerate registration and campaigning, while escalated violence or budget shortfalls would likely extend the postponement pattern.
After earlier delays, the first round of the 2026 Haitian legislative and presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 30, 2026, with a potential second round set for December 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency or the national legislative bodies, including the Senate (Sénat) and the Chamber of Deputies (Chambre des Députés), is rescheduled to take place after August 30, 2026, or otherwise does not take place by August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary source of resolution for this market will be Official information from the Haitian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency or the national legislative bodies, including the Senate (Sénat) and the Chamber of Deputies (Chambre des Députés), is rescheduled to take place after August 30, 2026, or otherwise does not take place by August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary source of resolution for this market will be Official information from the Haitian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Mar 27, 2026, 1:54 PM ET
交易量
$11,733结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 1:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...After earlier delays, the first round of the 2026 Haitian legislative and presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 30, 2026, with a potential second round set for December 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency or the national legislative bodies, including the Senate (Sénat) and the Chamber of Deputies (Chambre des Députés), is rescheduled to take place after August 30, 2026, or otherwise does not take place by August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary source of resolution for this market will be Official information from the Haitian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ongoing gang violence, funding shortfalls, and institutional capacity constraints continue to complicate Haiti's electoral timeline, with the Provisional Electoral Council postponing voter registration in April 2026 shortly after the transitional government's announcement of an August 30 first-round vote and December runoff. These factors sustain trader caution around further slippage despite reaffirmed commitments to install a new president by February 2027. The narrow 54% implied probability for additional delay reflects balanced assessments of security restoration efforts and logistical preparations against persistent instability that has repeatedly pushed back polls since 2019. Improved security conditions or secured international support could accelerate registration and campaigning, while escalated violence or budget shortfalls would likely extend the postponement pattern.
After earlier delays, the first round of the 2026 Haitian legislative and presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 30, 2026, with a potential second round set for December 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency or the national legislative bodies, including the Senate (Sénat) and the Chamber of Deputies (Chambre des Députés), is rescheduled to take place after August 30, 2026, or otherwise does not take place by August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary source of resolution for this market will be Official information from the Haitian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first round of voting for the presidency or the national legislative bodies, including the Senate (Sénat) and the Chamber of Deputies (Chambre des Députés), is rescheduled to take place after August 30, 2026, or otherwise does not take place by August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary source of resolution for this market will be Official information from the Haitian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$11,733结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 1:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing gang violence, funding shortfalls, and institutional capacity constraints continue to complicate Haiti's electoral timeline, with the Provisional Electoral Council postponing voter registration in April 2026 shortly after the transitional government's announcement of an August 30 first-round vote and December runoff. These factors sustain trader caution around further slippage despite reaffirmed commitments to install a new president by February 2027. The narrow 54% implied probability for additional delay reflects balanced assessments of security restoration efforts and logistical preparations against persistent instability that has repeatedly pushed back polls since 2019. Improved security conditions or secured international support could accelerate registration and campaigning, while escalated violence or budget shortfalls would likely extend the postponement pattern.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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