Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport confirm midday temperatures peaked at 24°C today, driving Polymarket traders to 100% consensus on this outcome as the daily high. Hourly data shows a subsequent cooling trend under partly cloudy conditions and light westerly winds, aligning with ECMWF and GFS model ensembles projecting no exceedance amid reduced insolation late in the day. May climatology averages 22°C highs in Ankara, with today's slight elevation tied to a lingering high-pressure ridge. Realistic challenges include rare afternoon clearing boosting solar heating, but model uncertainty bands place this below 1% likelihood; final MGM airport readings by midnight will resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Ankara on May 12?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 12?
24°C 100%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$108,466 交易量
$108,466 交易量
2026-05-12
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
24°C 100%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$108,466 交易量
$108,466 交易量
2026-05-12
18°C or below
$6,647 交易量
No
19°C
$2,309 交易量
No
20°C
$6,249 交易量
No
21°C
$6,772 交易量
No
22°C
$8,641 交易量
No
23°C
$7,433 交易量
No
24°C
$23,072 交易量
Yes
25°C
$19,283 交易量
No
26°C
$12,333 交易量
No
27°C
$8,243 交易量
No
28°C or higher
$7,484 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport confirm midday temperatures peaked at 24°C today, driving Polymarket traders to 100% consensus on this outcome as the daily high. Hourly data shows a subsequent cooling trend under partly cloudy conditions and light westerly winds, aligning with ECMWF and GFS model ensembles projecting no exceedance amid reduced insolation late in the day. May climatology averages 22°C highs in Ankara, with today's slight elevation tied to a lingering high-pressure ridge. Realistic challenges include rare afternoon clearing boosting solar heating, but model uncertainty bands place this below 1% likelihood; final MGM airport readings by midnight will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
交易量
$108,466结束日期
2026-05-12市场开放时间
May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport confirm midday temperatures peaked at 24°C today, driving Polymarket traders to 100% consensus on this outcome as the daily high. Hourly data shows a subsequent cooling trend under partly cloudy conditions and light westerly winds, aligning with ECMWF and GFS model ensembles projecting no exceedance amid reduced insolation late in the day. May climatology averages 22°C highs in Ankara, with today's slight elevation tied to a lingering high-pressure ridge. Realistic challenges include rare afternoon clearing boosting solar heating, but model uncertainty bands place this below 1% likelihood; final MGM airport readings by midnight will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$108,466结束日期
2026-05-12市场开放时间
May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) at Esenboğa International Airport confirm midday temperatures peaked at 24°C today, driving Polymarket traders to 100% consensus on this outcome as the daily high. Hourly data shows a subsequent cooling trend under partly cloudy conditions and light westerly winds, aligning with ECMWF and GFS model ensembles projecting no exceedance amid reduced insolation late in the day. May climatology averages 22°C highs in Ankara, with today's slight elevation tied to a lingering high-pressure ridge. Realistic challenges include rare afternoon clearing boosting solar heating, but model uncertainty bands place this below 1% likelihood; final MGM airport readings by midnight will resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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