Trader sentiment on Chengdu's March 21 high temperature clusters tightly around 19–23°C, with 20°C leading at 29.5%, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting a mean of 21–22°C amid a high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly flow. Differentiating factors include model spread: ECMWF's drier, sunnier bias favors 22–23°C peaks via enhanced insolation, while GFS variants highlight persistent stratocumulus clouds capping highs at 19–20°C, per historical spring precedents when low-level moisture from the Yangtze basin suppresses diurnal warming. Recent CMA updates confirm no major cold fronts, but urban heat island effects in Chengdu could nudge outcomes 1–2°C higher; watch tomorrow's 12Z model runs for resolution shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chengdu on March 21?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on March 21?
20°C 48%
21°C 40%
22°C 24%
23°C 24%
14°C或以下
1%
15°C
12%
16°C
7%
17°C
3%
18°C
4%
19°C
21%
20°C
30%
21°C
28%
22°C
24%
23°C
24%
24°C or higher
7%
20°C 48%
21°C 40%
22°C 24%
23°C 24%
14°C或以下
1%
15°C
12%
16°C
7%
17°C
3%
18°C
4%
19°C
21%
20°C
30%
21°C
28%
22°C
24%
23°C
24%
24°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 19, 2026, 6:59 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Chengdu's March 21 high temperature clusters tightly around 19–23°C, with 20°C leading at 29.5%, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting a mean of 21–22°C amid a high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly flow. Differentiating factors include model spread: ECMWF's drier, sunnier bias favors 22–23°C peaks via enhanced insolation, while GFS variants highlight persistent stratocumulus clouds capping highs at 19–20°C, per historical spring precedents when low-level moisture from the Yangtze basin suppresses diurnal warming. Recent CMA updates confirm no major cold fronts, but urban heat island effects in Chengdu could nudge outcomes 1–2°C higher; watch tomorrow's 12Z model runs for resolution shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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