Trader sentiment for Chongqing's March 23 high temperature remains evenly split across outcomes from 14°C or below to 24°C or higher, with 20°C edging at 26%, driven by divergent short-range model ensembles amid spring transitional weather. China Meteorological Administration forecasts center around 18-22°C, but global models like ECMWF and GFS diverge due to an approaching frontal boundary potentially introducing cloud cover and showers that cap peaks at 15-18°C, versus clearer conditions allowing 22-24°C. Historical late-March averages hover near 17°C in the humid subtropical basin, amplified by urban heat; key differentiator is diurnal solar forcing versus overnight cold air advection, with final clarity from 00Z model runs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 23?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 23?
17°C 28%
20°C 26%
14°C or below 26%
15°C 26%
14°C or below
26%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
28%
18°C
26%
19°C
26%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C or higher
26%
17°C 28%
20°C 26%
14°C or below 26%
15°C 26%
14°C or below
26%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
28%
18°C
26%
19°C
26%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
26%
23°C
26%
24°C or higher
26%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 19, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Chongqing's March 23 high temperature remains evenly split across outcomes from 14°C or below to 24°C or higher, with 20°C edging at 26%, driven by divergent short-range model ensembles amid spring transitional weather. China Meteorological Administration forecasts center around 18-22°C, but global models like ECMWF and GFS diverge due to an approaching frontal boundary potentially introducing cloud cover and showers that cap peaks at 15-18°C, versus clearer conditions allowing 22-24°C. Historical late-March averages hover near 17°C in the humid subtropical basin, amplified by urban heat; key differentiator is diurnal solar forcing versus overnight cold air advection, with final clarity from 00Z model runs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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