Trader consensus heavily favors a highest temperature of 17°C in Chongqing on March 20, driven by the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which converge on mild spring conditions with daytime highs peaking at 17°C amid light southerly winds and partial cloud cover. Historical March data for Chongqing shows average highs of 16-18°C, aligning with this projection amid a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge suppressing extremes. Recent model updates through March 19 reinforce this, with minimal spread. Challenges could arise from an unforeseen adiabatic warming via a stronger warm front or nocturnal inversion breakdown, potentially pushing to 18-19°C, though ensemble probabilities remain below 5%.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于3月20日重庆气温最高?
3月20日重庆气温最高?
17°C 97.7%
18°C 1.1%
19°C或更高 <1%
15°C <1%
$20,024 交易量
$20,024 交易量
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
98%
18°C
1%
19°C或更高
1%
17°C 97.7%
18°C 1.1%
19°C或更高 <1%
15°C <1%
$20,024 交易量
$20,024 交易量
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
98%
18°C
1%
19°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 19, 2026, 6:51 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors a highest temperature of 17°C in Chongqing on March 20, driven by the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which converge on mild spring conditions with daytime highs peaking at 17°C amid light southerly winds and partial cloud cover. Historical March data for Chongqing shows average highs of 16-18°C, aligning with this projection amid a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge suppressing extremes. Recent model updates through March 19 reinforce this, with minimal spread. Challenges could arise from an unforeseen adiabatic warming via a stronger warm front or nocturnal inversion breakdown, potentially pushing to 18-19°C, though ensemble probabilities remain below 5%.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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