Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 32°C and 33°C at 30% each for Singapore's highest temperature on March 24, driven by the National Environment Agency's (NEA) latest forecast of a 33°C maximum amid morning thundery showers transitioning to partly cloudy skies. Singapore's equatorial climate typically sees March highs averaging 31.5°C, but 2024's fading El Niño and urban heat island effects have nudged recent days toward 34°C peaks, boosting 35°C+ odds to 22%. Differentiating factors include afternoon convective activity—thunderstorms could suppress peaks to 32°C via cloud shading, while prolonged insolation under low humidity favors 33-35°C. Global models like ECMWF align on this 32-34°C range, with real-time NEA observations as the key resolution trigger.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于3月24日新加坡气温最高?
3月24日新加坡气温最高?
34°C 32%
32°C 30%
33°C 30%
35°C或更高 22%
25°C或以下
16%
26°C
9%
27°C
16%
28°C
16%
29°C
16%
30°C
16%
31°C
18%
32°C
30%
33°C
30%
34°C
17%
35°C或更高
22%
34°C 32%
32°C 30%
33°C 30%
35°C或更高 22%
25°C或以下
16%
26°C
9%
27°C
16%
28°C
16%
29°C
16%
30°C
16%
31°C
18%
32°C
30%
33°C
30%
34°C
17%
35°C或更高
22%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 32°C and 33°C at 30% each for Singapore's highest temperature on March 24, driven by the National Environment Agency's (NEA) latest forecast of a 33°C maximum amid morning thundery showers transitioning to partly cloudy skies. Singapore's equatorial climate typically sees March highs averaging 31.5°C, but 2024's fading El Niño and urban heat island effects have nudged recent days toward 34°C peaks, boosting 35°C+ odds to 22%. Differentiating factors include afternoon convective activity—thunderstorms could suppress peaks to 32°C via cloud shading, while prolonged insolation under low humidity favors 33-35°C. Global models like ECMWF align on this 32-34°C range, with real-time NEA observations as the key resolution trigger.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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