Trader consensus on Singapore's highest temperature on March 22 heavily favors 33°C at 38% implied probability, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting peaks of 32-34°C amid the city's tropical inter-monsoon transition. Lingering El Niño influences have elevated March baseline highs to around 32°C historically, but urban heat island effects and variable afternoon sea breezes differentiate outcomes—favoring 33°C as the modal forecast from official Meteorological Service Singapore updates showing partly cloudy skies with isolated thundershowers. Lower odds for 34°C reflect ensemble spreads capping extremes, while 32°C contention arises from potential shower-induced cooling, underscoring model divergence in convective activity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Singapore on March 22?
Highest temperature in Singapore on March 22?
33°C 38%
32°C 32%
34°C 22%
31°C 6%
$33,680 交易量
$33,680 交易量
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
6%
32°C
32%
33°C
38%
34°C
22%
35°C or higher
2%
33°C 38%
32°C 32%
34°C 22%
31°C 6%
$33,680 交易量
$33,680 交易量
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
6%
32°C
32%
33°C
38%
34°C
22%
35°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 18, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Singapore's highest temperature on March 22 heavily favors 33°C at 38% implied probability, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting peaks of 32-34°C amid the city's tropical inter-monsoon transition. Lingering El Niño influences have elevated March baseline highs to around 32°C historically, but urban heat island effects and variable afternoon sea breezes differentiate outcomes—favoring 33°C as the modal forecast from official Meteorological Service Singapore updates showing partly cloudy skies with isolated thundershowers. Lower odds for 34°C reflect ensemble spreads capping extremes, while 32°C contention arises from potential shower-induced cooling, underscoring model divergence in convective activity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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