Official observations from China Meteorological Administration (CMA) stations in Chongqing, including Shapingba, confirm a peak temperature of 26°C on April 26 amid persistent cloud cover and light rain, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome. Short-range forecast models from CMA, ECMWF, and GFS aligned precisely with this high, projecting limited warming due to southerly moisture influx and frontal activity suppressing diurnal heating beyond mid-afternoon. Historical April patterns in the region show similar caps under rainy conditions, with average highs around 24°C. A realistic challenge would require an unforecast late-day clear-out boosting solar insolation for a 1–2°C spike, though evening cooling and resolved daily data make this improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 26?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 26?
26°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$73,739 交易量
$73,739 交易量
2026-04-26
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$73,739 交易量
$73,739 交易量
2026-04-26
19°C or below
$2,559 交易量
No
20°C
$1,035 交易量
No
21°C
$1,145 交易量
No
22°C
$1,519 交易量
No
23°C
$9,369 交易量
No
24°C
$3,611 交易量
No
25°C
$17,903 交易量
No
26°C
$13,952 交易量
Yes
27°C
$7,099 交易量
No
28°C
$6,733 交易量
No
29°C or higher
$8,814 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from China Meteorological Administration (CMA) stations in Chongqing, including Shapingba, confirm a peak temperature of 26°C on April 26 amid persistent cloud cover and light rain, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome. Short-range forecast models from CMA, ECMWF, and GFS aligned precisely with this high, projecting limited warming due to southerly moisture influx and frontal activity suppressing diurnal heating beyond mid-afternoon. Historical April patterns in the region show similar caps under rainy conditions, with average highs around 24°C. A realistic challenge would require an unforecast late-day clear-out boosting solar insolation for a 1–2°C spike, though evening cooling and resolved daily data make this improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 24, 2026, 12:48 AM ET
交易量
$73,739结束日期
2026-04-26市场开放时间
Apr 24, 2026, 12:48 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from China Meteorological Administration (CMA) stations in Chongqing, including Shapingba, confirm a peak temperature of 26°C on April 26 amid persistent cloud cover and light rain, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome. Short-range forecast models from CMA, ECMWF, and GFS aligned precisely with this high, projecting limited warming due to southerly moisture influx and frontal activity suppressing diurnal heating beyond mid-afternoon. Historical April patterns in the region show similar caps under rainy conditions, with average highs around 24°C. A realistic challenge would require an unforecast late-day clear-out boosting solar insolation for a 1–2°C spike, though evening cooling and resolved daily data make this improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$73,739结束日期
2026-04-26市场开放时间
Apr 24, 2026, 12:48 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official observations from China Meteorological Administration (CMA) stations in Chongqing, including Shapingba, confirm a peak temperature of 26°C on April 26 amid persistent cloud cover and light rain, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome. Short-range forecast models from CMA, ECMWF, and GFS aligned precisely with this high, projecting limited warming due to southerly moisture influx and frontal activity suppressing diurnal heating beyond mid-afternoon. Historical April patterns in the region show similar caps under rainy conditions, with average highs around 24°C. A realistic challenge would require an unforecast late-day clear-out boosting solar insolation for a 1–2°C spike, though evening cooling and resolved daily data make this improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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