Official National Weather Service observations at Houston's William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU)—the market's designated resolution source—recorded a maximum temperature of 68°F on April 21, 2026, driving the 100% market-implied probability for the 68-69°F outcome. Persistent cloud cover, light rain totaling 0.2 inches, and fog from an active stormy weather pattern ushered in cooler air masses, capping highs 12°F below the climatological April average of 80°F. This aligns with NOAA forecast models anticipating suppressed temperatures amid upper-level troughing and Gulf moisture influx. While final data revisions are rare post-validation, discrepancies between stations like IAH or microscale urban heat effects could theoretically prompt review, though trader consensus deems this outcome certain.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Houston on April 21?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 21?
68-69°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$58,156 交易量
$58,156 交易量
2026-04-21
53°F or below
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
Yes
70-71°F
No
72°F or higher
No
68-69°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$58,156 交易量
$58,156 交易量
2026-04-21
53°F or below
$846 交易量
No
54-55°F
$939 交易量
No
56-57°F
$734 交易量
No
58-59°F
$1,269 交易量
No
60-61°F
$1,863 交易量
No
62-63°F
$2,531 交易量
No
64-65°F
$5,246 交易量
No
66-67°F
$10,713 交易量
No
68-69°F
$14,597 交易量
Yes
70-71°F
$8,725 交易量
No
72°F or higher
$10,693 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations at Houston's William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU)—the market's designated resolution source—recorded a maximum temperature of 68°F on April 21, 2026, driving the 100% market-implied probability for the 68-69°F outcome. Persistent cloud cover, light rain totaling 0.2 inches, and fog from an active stormy weather pattern ushered in cooler air masses, capping highs 12°F below the climatological April average of 80°F. This aligns with NOAA forecast models anticipating suppressed temperatures amid upper-level troughing and Gulf moisture influx. While final data revisions are rare post-validation, discrepancies between stations like IAH or microscale urban heat effects could theoretically prompt review, though trader consensus deems this outcome certain.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 19, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
交易量
$58,156结束日期
2026-04-21市场开放时间
Apr 19, 2026, 12:13 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations at Houston's William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU)—the market's designated resolution source—recorded a maximum temperature of 68°F on April 21, 2026, driving the 100% market-implied probability for the 68-69°F outcome. Persistent cloud cover, light rain totaling 0.2 inches, and fog from an active stormy weather pattern ushered in cooler air masses, capping highs 12°F below the climatological April average of 80°F. This aligns with NOAA forecast models anticipating suppressed temperatures amid upper-level troughing and Gulf moisture influx. While final data revisions are rare post-validation, discrepancies between stations like IAH or microscale urban heat effects could theoretically prompt review, though trader consensus deems this outcome certain.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$58,156结束日期
2026-04-21市场开放时间
Apr 19, 2026, 12:13 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official National Weather Service observations at Houston's William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU)—the market's designated resolution source—recorded a maximum temperature of 68°F on April 21, 2026, driving the 100% market-implied probability for the 68-69°F outcome. Persistent cloud cover, light rain totaling 0.2 inches, and fog from an active stormy weather pattern ushered in cooler air masses, capping highs 12°F below the climatological April average of 80°F. This aligns with NOAA forecast models anticipating suppressed temperatures amid upper-level troughing and Gulf moisture influx. While final data revisions are rare post-validation, discrepancies between stations like IAH or microscale urban heat effects could theoretically prompt review, though trader consensus deems this outcome certain.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题