Traders have overwhelmingly positioned around 30°C as Madrid’s highest temperature today, driven by the latest official forecasts from Spain’s meteorological service showing daytime maxima stabilizing at that level under persistent high pressure and clear skies. European model consensus indicates typical early-June solar heating and light northerly flow, keeping surface temperatures within a narrow range consistent with historical climatology for the region. The near-certain market odds reflect minimal forecast spread and proximity to resolution, with only modest uncertainty from microscale variations in urban heat islands. A rapid increase in cloud cover or an unexpected shift in wind direction could still produce a peak one degree lower or higher before final observations are recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月4日马德里气温最高？
6月4日马德里气温最高？
30°C 100.0%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$107,063 交易量
$107,063 交易量
2026-06-04
25°C或以下
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
是
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C或更高
否
30°C 100.0%
25°C或以下 <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$107,063 交易量
$107,063 交易量
2026-06-04
25°C或以下
$2,364 交易量
否
26°C
$2,777 交易量
否
27°C
$12,714 交易量
否
28°C
$15,453 交易量
否
29°C
$17,856 交易量
否
30°C
$17,494 交易量
是
31°C
$17,108 交易量
否
32°C
$11,558 交易量
否
33°C
$5,319 交易量
否
34°C
$2,788 交易量
否
35°C或更高
$1,633 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have overwhelmingly positioned around 30°C as Madrid’s highest temperature today, driven by the latest official forecasts from Spain’s meteorological service showing daytime maxima stabilizing at that level under persistent high pressure and clear skies. European model consensus indicates typical early-June solar heating and light northerly flow, keeping surface temperatures within a narrow range consistent with historical climatology for the region. The near-certain market odds reflect minimal forecast spread and proximity to resolution, with only modest uncertainty from microscale variations in urban heat islands. A rapid increase in cloud cover or an unexpected shift in wind direction could still produce a peak one degree lower or higher before final observations are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$107,063结束日期
2026-06-04市场开放时间
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have overwhelmingly positioned around 30°C as Madrid’s highest temperature today, driven by the latest official forecasts from Spain’s meteorological service showing daytime maxima stabilizing at that level under persistent high pressure and clear skies. European model consensus indicates typical early-June solar heating and light northerly flow, keeping surface temperatures within a narrow range consistent with historical climatology for the region. The near-certain market odds reflect minimal forecast spread and proximity to resolution, with only modest uncertainty from microscale variations in urban heat islands. A rapid increase in cloud cover or an unexpected shift in wind direction could still produce a peak one degree lower or higher before final observations are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$107,063结束日期
2026-06-04市场开放时间
Jun 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Traders have overwhelmingly positioned around 30°C as Madrid’s highest temperature today, driven by the latest official forecasts from Spain’s meteorological service showing daytime maxima stabilizing at that level under persistent high pressure and clear skies. European model consensus indicates typical early-June solar heating and light northerly flow, keeping surface temperatures within a narrow range consistent with historical climatology for the region. The near-certain market odds reflect minimal forecast spread and proximity to resolution, with only modest uncertainty from microscale variations in urban heat islands. A rapid increase in cloud cover or an unexpected shift in wind direction could still produce a peak one degree lower or higher before final observations are recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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