Latest National Weather Service forecasts project Miami's highest temperature on March 23 at around 83°F under a high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence warming and sunny skies, fueling trader bets on the 82-85°F range with 25.5% odds on 84-85°F edging out 82-83°F at 24.5%. Differentiating factors include ensemble model spread—GFS leaning slightly warmer at 84-85°F via stronger ridging, while ECMWF shows cooler sea-breeze moderation potentially capping at 82°F—against a March climatological average of 79°F. Light winds and low humidity support diurnal peaks near model means, but any convective activity could trim 1-2°F, keeping 80-81°F viable at 21% odds; traders eye afternoon updates for resolution cues.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于3月23日迈阿密气温最高?
3月23日迈阿密气温最高?
84-85°F 26%
82-83°F 25%
80-81°F 21%
86-87°F 17.0%
71°F或以下
1%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
13%
80-81°F
21%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
26%
86-87°F
14%
88-89°F
7%
90°F或更高
4%
84-85°F 26%
82-83°F 25%
80-81°F 21%
86-87°F 17.0%
71°F或以下
1%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
13%
80-81°F
21%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
26%
86-87°F
14%
88-89°F
7%
90°F或更高
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 19, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts project Miami's highest temperature on March 23 at around 83°F under a high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence warming and sunny skies, fueling trader bets on the 82-85°F range with 25.5% odds on 84-85°F edging out 82-83°F at 24.5%. Differentiating factors include ensemble model spread—GFS leaning slightly warmer at 84-85°F via stronger ridging, while ECMWF shows cooler sea-breeze moderation potentially capping at 82°F—against a March climatological average of 79°F. Light winds and low humidity support diurnal peaks near model means, but any convective activity could trim 1-2°F, keeping 80-81°F viable at 21% odds; traders eye afternoon updates for resolution cues.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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