Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 15°C at Munich Airport station (EDDM) on May 7, driven by confirmed Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) observations recording a peak of 15°C during the afternoon under cool northerly airflow, persistent cloud cover, and light high-pressure influence that suppressed solar heating despite early May's typical diurnal cycle. Evening readings have fallen to 12°C by 21:00 local time, past the daily maximum window, aligning with ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting 15-16°C highs—below the historical May average of 17°C due to this cool anomaly. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-evening spike from sudden clearing or a data revision, though market rules ignore post-finalization changes; final Wunderground daily summary is pending for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Munich on May 7?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 7?
15°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$153,987 交易量
$153,987 交易量
2026-05-07
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$153,987 交易量
$153,987 交易量
2026-05-07
12°C or below
$12,499 交易量
No
13°C
$10,080 交易量
No
14°C
$26,215 交易量
No
15°C
$24,446 交易量
Yes
16°C
$23,040 交易量
No
17°C
$20,487 交易量
No
18°C
$11,254 交易量
No
19°C
$7,934 交易量
No
20°C
$6,513 交易量
No
21°C
$5,028 交易量
No
22°C or higher
$6,490 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 15°C at Munich Airport station (EDDM) on May 7, driven by confirmed Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) observations recording a peak of 15°C during the afternoon under cool northerly airflow, persistent cloud cover, and light high-pressure influence that suppressed solar heating despite early May's typical diurnal cycle. Evening readings have fallen to 12°C by 21:00 local time, past the daily maximum window, aligning with ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting 15-16°C highs—below the historical May average of 17°C due to this cool anomaly. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-evening spike from sudden clearing or a data revision, though market rules ignore post-finalization changes; final Wunderground daily summary is pending for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 5, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
交易量
$153,987结束日期
2026-05-07市场开放时间
May 5, 2026, 12:23 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 15°C at Munich Airport station (EDDM) on May 7, driven by confirmed Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) observations recording a peak of 15°C during the afternoon under cool northerly airflow, persistent cloud cover, and light high-pressure influence that suppressed solar heating despite early May's typical diurnal cycle. Evening readings have fallen to 12°C by 21:00 local time, past the daily maximum window, aligning with ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting 15-16°C highs—below the historical May average of 17°C due to this cool anomaly. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-evening spike from sudden clearing or a data revision, though market rules ignore post-finalization changes; final Wunderground daily summary is pending for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$153,987结束日期
2026-05-07市场开放时间
May 5, 2026, 12:23 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 15°C at Munich Airport station (EDDM) on May 7, driven by confirmed Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) observations recording a peak of 15°C during the afternoon under cool northerly airflow, persistent cloud cover, and light high-pressure influence that suppressed solar heating despite early May's typical diurnal cycle. Evening readings have fallen to 12°C by 21:00 local time, past the daily maximum window, aligning with ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting 15-16°C highs—below the historical May average of 17°C due to this cool anomaly. Realistic challenges include an improbable late-evening spike from sudden clearing or a data revision, though market rules ignore post-finalization changes; final Wunderground daily summary is pending for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题